Showing posts with label driver ratings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label driver ratings. Show all posts

Friday, July 6, 2018

Final Daytona Driver Ratings: 2018 Coke Zero Sugar 400

Does the Camaro have another Daytona plate win in store? Last Chevy win was Daytona 500/
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 COKE ZERO SUGAR 400
DAYTONA INTERNATIONAL SPEEDWAY
SATURDAY, JULY 7, 2018 - 7:16 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS                    PRAC 1    QUALIFIED   
 1. Joey Logano 10/1                     4th          11th
 2. Brad Keselowski 13/2              3rd           3rd
 3. Ricky Stenhoues Jr. 15/1         26th          6th
 4. Ryan Blaney 10/1                      5th         12th
 5. Denny Hamlin 10/1                  15th        17th
 6. Kurt Busch 12/1                         6th         23rd
 7. Kevin Harvick 10/1                   7th           5th
 8. Clint Bowyer 12/1                      1st           9th
 9. Ryan Newman 40/1                  25th          7th
10. Jimmie Johnson 25/1               24th          4th
11. Kyle Busch 12/1                      19th         15th
12. Chase Elliott 10/1                    10th           1st
13. Paul Menard 30/1                    11th         30th
14. Bubba Wallace 50/1                 14th        22nd
15. Aric Almirola 30/1                     2nd         26th

Note: The the second and final practice scheduled was canceled, but these first-practice speeds mean little to the overall equation. The start position means very little as well. It's plate racing. The driver rating coming into the practice holds more weight. Ford's are still the elite in plate races as the first seven top-speeds showed in first practice, for whatever that's worth. Enjoy!

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, June 23, 2018

Final Sonoma Driver Ratings: 2018 Toyota/Save Mart 350

Martin Truex Jr. quietly looking like he's got one of the best cars this weekend.
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 TOYOTA/SAVE MART 350
SONOMA RACEWAY
SUNDAY, JUNE 24, 2018 - 3:18 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS                 PRAC 1   PRAC 2    QUALIFIED   
 1. Kevin Harvick (4/1)             12th        5th           6th
 2. Martin Truex Jr (4/1)            8th        3rd            2nd
 3. Clint Bowyer (6/1)                 1st       17th         19th
 4. Kurt Busch (8/1)                   14th        1st         23rd
 5. Denny Hamlin (10/1)           17th       2nd          21st
 6. Jimmie Johnson (25/1)          6th      18th            7th
 7. A.J. Allmendinger (15/1)       9th       12th           5th
 8. Kyle Busch (4/1)                   18th      19th            9th
 9. Jamie McMurray (30/1)         4th         4th            4th
10. Ryan Blaney (20/1)                2nd       24th         11th
11. Chase Elliott (30/1)              13th       15th           3rd
12. Daniel Suarez (100/1)             5th       33rd         16th
13. Brad Keselowski (20/1)        23rd         7th          10th
14. Kyle Larson (30/1)                 16th       14th           1st
15. Joey Logano (10/1)                  3rd       30th         12th

Note: Only two of 29 Cup races at Sonoma have been won from a starting position of 15th or worse and they came in back-to-back seasons with Juan Pablo Montoya (32nd) in 2007 and Kyle Busch (30th) in 2008. This is something to seriously consider when discussing possible wagers on skilled road drivers who practiced well but start a ways back. Lots of traffic with limited places to pass and more opportunities to be involved in someone else's mess. This should be factored in the odds to win and match-up prices considerably. Having said all that, I could be baited into taking more on Clint Bowyer (19th), Denny Hamlin (21st) and Kurt Busch (23rd) if the sports books jack the number up too high.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, June 9, 2018

Final Michigan Driver Ratings: 2018 FireKeepers Casino 400

Kevin Harvick had the best 10-consecutive lap average in the second and final practice and Clint Bowyer was fourth-best. 
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 FIREKEEPERS CASINO 400
MICHIGAN INTERNATIONAL SPEEDWAY
SUNDAY, JUNE 10, 2018 - 2:16 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS                  PRAC 1  QUALIFIED  PRAC 2 
 1. Kevin Harvick 5/2                4th            4th           1st
 2. Kyle Busch 9/2                     2nd           3rd           7th
 3. Kyle Larson 5/1                   16th         26th          2nd
 4. Kurt Busch 25/1                    6th           1st            9th
 5. Martin Truex Jr. 5/1            11th        17th           6th
 6. Brad Keselowski 12/1          3rd           2nd           5th
 7. Joey Logano 15/1                10th          5th            3rd
 8. Clint Bowyer 25/1                 7th         12th           4th
 9. Ryan Blaney 12/1                  1st           9th          14th
10. Denny Hamlin 15/1            13th         10th         21st
11. Aric Almirola 50/1                9th           6th          13th
12. Erik Jones 15/1                    15th          8th          10th
13. Jimmie Johnson 40/1         26th         20th          23rd
14. Chase Elliott 15/1                  5th         13th         17th
15. William Byron 200/1           19th         14th          8th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.









Saturday, May 26, 2018

Final Charlotte Driver Ratings: 2018 Coca-Cola 600

Erik Jones might be in line to get his first career Cup win like so many other stars have done in the Coca-Cola 600.
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 COCA-COLA 600
CHARLOTTE MOTOR SPEEDWAY
SUNDAY, MAY 27, 2018 - 6:16 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS               PRAC 1      QUALIFIED      PRAC 3
 1. Kevin Harvick 9/5               14th           39th          17th
 2. Kyle Larson 8/1                     9th            11th           2nd
 3. Erik Jones 20/1                      5th             4th            1st
 4.  Denny Hamlin 15/1             1st              3rd            5th
 5. Joey Logano 20/1                19th            2nd            4th
 6. Ryan Blaney 10/1                  2nd            8th            3rd
 7. Martin Truex Jr 5/1               8th            15th         14th 
 8. Kyle Busch 7/2                     15th             1st          18th
 9. Chase Elliott 30/1                   6th           22nd        12th
10. Clint Bowyer 25/1               17th          28th           6th
11. Kurt Busch 25/1                  20th           16th           7th
12. Brad Keselowski 12/1          3rd             5th         22nd
13. Paul Menard 100/1               29th          14th           8th
14. Ryan Newman 100/1           16th            6th          15th
15. Austin Dillon 100/1                4th          12th          20th

Note: Practice 2 canceled

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Final Kansas Driver Ratings: 2018 KC Masterpiece 400

Kevin Harvick and crew chief Rodney Childers got a secret they aren't sharing for races on 1.5-mile tracks.
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 KC MASTERPIECE 400
KANSAS SPEEDWAY
SUNDAY, MAY 12, 2018 - 8:45 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS             PRAC 1  QUALIFIED   
 1. Kevin Harvick 5/2                1st           1st
 2. Kyle Busch 7/2                     3rd          3rd
 3. Kyle Larson 8/1                    2nd       22nd
 4. Martin Truex Jr. 7/2             10th          7th
 5. Aric Almirola 50/1                7th          4th 
 6. Clint Bowyer 20/1                5th         33rd
 7. Ryan Blaney 15/1                 9th          2nd
 8. Erik Jones 20/1                      4th        12th
 9. Joey Logano 18/1                25th          9th
10. Denny Hamlin 18/1            20th          6th
11. Kurt Busch 30/1                  17th          8th
12. Brad Keselowski 12/1         11th          5th
13. Chase Elliott 20/1                12th        17th
14. Daniel Suarez 80/1                6th        14th
15. William Byron 200/1           14th        13th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Final Talladega Driver Ratings: 2018 Geico 500

Jamie McMurray had a spectacular wreck Friday during final practice. He was fastest before wrecking. He is using a back-up car in Sunday's Geico 500.
FYI...Unlike most weeks, the final practice speeds in restrictor-plate races mean little to the overall final driver rating equation. This is still a major crap shoot, lottery, dart board or grab bag.

MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 GEICO 400
TALLADEGA SUPERSPEEDWAY
SUNDAY, APRIL 29, 2018 - 2:16 PM ET


RATING   DRIVER   ODDS     PRAC 1  PRAC 2   QUALIFIED   DAYTONA 500
 1. Brad Keselowski 6/1          23rd       16th       10th      32nd
 2. Denny Hamlin 8/1                4th       26th          4th        3rd
 3. Joey Logano 8/1                 22nd       14th         9th         4th
 4. Ricky Stenhouse Jr 12/1    29th       18th          7th       29th
 5. Ryan Blaney 12/1                26th       19th       23rd         7th
 6. Kevin Harvick 10/1              21st         9th           1st       31st
 7. Kurt Busch 12/1                   19th       15th         2nd      26th
 8. Clint Bowyer 25/1                28th       17th         8th       15th
 9. Aric Almirola 25/1                20th       10th       40th      11th
10. Kyle Busch 12/1                    3rd        24th       19th      25th
11. Austin Dillon 40/1                 8th       22nd       24th        1st
12. Darrell Wallace Jr 60/1      11th        DNP        15th       2nd
13. Ty Dillon 100/1                      1st          2nd       29th       39th
14. Ryan Newman 40/1              5th          6th        18th        8th
15. Jamie McMurray 40/1        14th          1st         27th      16th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.












Saturday, April 21, 2018

Final Richmond Driver Ratings: 2018 Toyota Owners 400

Denny Hamlin found the perfect set-up combination Friday's final Richmond practice. He has three wins on his home track.
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 TOYOTA OWNERS 400
RICHMOND RACEWAY
SUNDAY, APRIL 21, 2018 - 6:43 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS             PRAC 1  PRAC 2   QUALIFIED  
 1. Kyle Larson 8/1                 2nd        1st          5th
 2. Denny Hamlin 8/1            29th        8th          4th
 3. Kyle Busch 4/1                    7th       14th      32nd
 4. Clint Bowyer 20/1             19th        4th       16th
 5. Kevin Harvick 4/1                6th      27th       10th
 6. Martin Truex Jr 6/1             3rd      16th         1st
 7. Chase Elliott 10/1                1st       25th        2nd 
 8. Erik Jones 20/1                   18th      19th        7th
 9. Brad Keselowski 10/1         10th      15th      28th
10. Joey Logano 10/1                5th       21st        3rd
11. Jamie McMurray 200/1      4th         3rd         8th
12. Ryan Blaney 30/1               11th      30th      13th
13. Jimmie Johnson 20/1        16th      11th        17th
14. Kurt Busch 20/1                 12th      29th        6th
15. Ryan Newman 80/1           20th      17th       14th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, March 24, 2018

Final Martinsville Driver Ratings...light

Sorry for the delay on Final Martinsville Driver Ratings, been on the go all day. I will relay a quick rating based on Saturday's activities. Snow? Yes, it's hapening in Martinsville as of Saturday night.

1) #18 Kyle Busch
2) #2 Brad Keselowski
3) #78 Martin Truex Jr
4) #14 Clint Bowyer
5) #31 Ryan Newman
6) #11 Denny Hamlin
7) #3 Austin Dillon
8) #4 Kevin Harvick
9) #22 Joey Logano

Saturday, March 10, 2018

Final Phoenix Driver Ratings: 2018 Ticket Guardian 500

Kevin Harvick looked like old self again at Phoenix; fastest in final two practices. Best 10-consecutive lap average in final session. 
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
TICKET GUARDIAN 500
ISM (PHOENIX) RACEWAY
SUNDAY, MARCH 11, 2018 - 3:45 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS              PRAC 1          QUALIFIED        PRAC 2      PRAC 3
 1. Kevin Harvick 9/4                 11th           10th           1st           1st
 2. Kyle Busch 6/1                       3rd              7th           3rd           8th
 3. Denny Hamlin 15/1                 7th              6th           5th         10th
 4. Kyle Larson 6/1                       1st             2nd         10th           7th
 5. Chase Elliott 15/1                    5th             3rd           2nd           6th
 6. Martin Truex Jr. 8/1               10th             1st            7th           3rd
 7. Erik Jones 15/1                      17th             9th          11th           9th
 8. Jimmie Johnson 20/1             14th            17th           8th         11th
 9. Aric Almirola 40/1                 19th           22nd         12th          4th
10. Ryan Newman 50/1               15th           13th           6th         15th
11. Alex Bowman 40/1               12th             4th         13th           5th
12. Brad Keselowski 8/1             13th           25th           4th         12th
13. Jamie McMurray 80/1           2nd              8th         15th          2nd
14. Ryan Blaney 20/1                    8th            12th         18th        26th
15. Clint Bowyer 40/1                   9th            19th         20th         14th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, February 24, 2018

Final Atlanta Driver Ratings: 2018 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

Ryan Newman had two really good days of practice and qualifying. Childress back-to-back weeks of winning?
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500
ATLANTA MOTOR SPEEDWAY
SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2018 - 1:16 PM ET (time change due to expected weather)


RATING   DRIVER   ODDS                      PRAC 1    QUALIFIED        PRAC 2   *ATL '17
 1. Kevin Harvick 9/2                    7th            3rd             23rd         9th   
 2. Denny Hamlin 12/1                  6th          12th               4th       38th
 3. Martin Truex Jr 9/2                10th          35th               2nd         8th
 4. Kyle Busch 6/1                       20th            1st              15th       16th
 5. Brad Keselowski 12/1            24th            5th             29th          1st
 6. Jimmie Johnson 12/1             16th         22nd               6th        19th
 7. Ryan Blaney 25/1                   25th         26th               8th        18th
 8. Clint Bowyer 20/1                  11th            9th               9th        11th
 9. Kyle Larson 9/2                       2nd            8th              19th        2nd
10. Paul Menard 200/1                15th          15th               3rd        25th
11. Chase Elliott 8/1                     29th           27th            28th          5th
12. Ryan Newman 100/1             12th            2nd               1st        35th
13. Joey Logano 12/1                     9th           16th               5th          6th
14. Daniel Suarez 60/1                 13th             4th              13th       21st
15. Kurt Busch 30/1                     21st             7th              20th         7th

* Results from the March 5, 2017 Cup race at Atlanta.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.


RACE 2: ATLANTA

Kevin Harvick gets the top rating not only because of dominating this race last season, leading the most laps (971) at Atlanta among active drivers or using a chassis that won at Texas in November. He also had a pretty good set of practices where he used his same bag of regular Atlanta tricks sticking to the yellow line near the apron. It works well for him. And with not much changes to the 2018 Cup cars and Harvick getting top-five finishes in four of the five 2017 playoff races on 1.5-mile tracks, he's got the most attractive resume for Atlanta.

Denny Hamlin got a boost in his rating after posting the best 10-consecutive lap average in both practices. His car is ready to roll just like it closed out 2017 with top-five finishes in six of his final seven starts on 1.5-mile tracks. Gibbs teammate Kyle Busch is almost as good and Daniel Suarez is also someone to keep an eye on.

Chase Elliott won't be as bad as he practiced or qualified and Ryan Newman won't be as good as he practiced or qualified -- just my opinion. Paul Menard in the No. 21 showed lots of speed and I'm expecting them to have a good run after having the third best 10-consecutive lap average during the second practice.

I also like a couple veterans to have a good showing Sunday -- or Monday since it's expected to rain. Clint Bowyer has something cooking similar to his teammate Harvick and Jimmie Johnson loves this old abrasive asphalt at Atlanta.

Saturday, September 9, 2017

Final Richmond Driver Ratings: 2017 Federated Auto Parts 400

Native Virginian Denny Hamlin has won at Richmond three times, including last fall, and gets top rating this week.
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Federated Auto Parts 400
Richmond Raceway
Saturday, September 9, 2017 - 7:46 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS                   PRAC 1      PRAC 2       START      APRIL 30* 
 1. Denny Hamlin 9/2               7th         10th          2nd           3rd
 2. Kyle Busch 9/2                   3rd         15th           7th          16th
 3. Martin Truex Jr 9/2             2nd          4th           5th          10th
 4. Matt Kenseth 8/1                1st           5th           1st          23rd
 5. Brad Keselowski 8/1           5th           7th          15th          2nd
 6. Kevin Harvick 6/1                9th         31st           6th           5th
 7. Ryan Blaney 35/1              20th         21st          14th         36th
 8. Joey Logano 20/1              11th          2nd          12th          1st
 9. Chase Elliott 18/1              22nd          9th           9th          24th
10. Kyle Larson 8/1                  4th           1st           4th          14th
11. Clint Bowyer 25/1              13th         19th         13th          15th
12. Erik Jones 18/1                   8th         26th         10th          38th
13. Jimmie Johnson 25/1         24th         16th         20th          11th
14. Jamie McMurray 35/1         15th         13th         11th           6th
15. Daniel Suarez 100/1          17th          3rd          16th          12th

* Results from the April 30 Cup race at Richmond.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Friday, August 18, 2017

Final Bristol Driver Ratings: 2017 Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race

Five-time Bristol winner Kyle Busch is driver to beat. All JGR cars are going to be strong at Bristol.
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race
Bristol Motor Speedway
Saturday, August 19, 2017 - 7:46 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS               PRAC 1           PRAC 2       START       APRIL 24* 
 1. Kyle Busch 4/1                 2nd          5th          18th         35th
 2. Denny Hamlin 12/1            1st         21st           7th         10th
 3. Kyle Larson 4/1                16th         2nd           2nd          6th
 4. Matt Kenseth 10/1             6th         13th           5th           4th
 5. Ryan Blaney 30/1              4th          1st          10th         33rd
 6. Kasey Kahne 80/1             3rd         15th           3rd         20th
 7. Martin Truex Jr 4/1             7th         11th           6th          8th
 8. Clint Bowyer 18/1              5th          10th          9th          2nd
 9. Jamie McMurray 40/1       13th          4th          11th         12th
10. Erik Jones 30/1                  8th          8th           1st          17th
11. Chase Elliott 15/1            11th         12th          4th           7th
12. Jimmie Johnson 15/1        10th        22nd         21st          1st
13. Kevin Harvick 10/1          18th        17th         29th           3rd
14. Ryan Newman 80/1          15th          3rd         13th          14th
15. Daniel Suarez 60/1           12th        14th         12th          18th

* Results from the April 24 Cup race at Bristol.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Final Indianapolis Driver Ratings: 2017 Brickyard 400

Kyle Busch is worthy of Brickyard favorite status.
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Brickyard 400
Indianapolis Motor Speedway
Sunday, July 23, 2017 - 2:50 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS              PRAC 1     PRAC 2        START      POCONO*  
 1. Kyle Busch 3/1                  6th         13th                         9th
 2. Jimmie Johnson 8/1         13th           4th                       36th
 3. Kevin Harvick 8/1              9th          2nd                        2nd
 4. Martin Truex Jr 3.1            2nd         10th                        6th
 5. Denny Hamlin 12/1            1st         17th                       12th
 6. Matt Kenseth 12/1             3rd         20th                       10th
 7. Kyle Larson 5/1                 5th         15th                        7th
 8. Erik Jones 40/1                14th          1st                        3rd
 9. Kasey Kahne 100/1            4th          7th                       35th
10. Ryan Blaney 40/1              8th          3rd                        1st
11. Brad Keselowski 15/1       10th        19th                        5th
12. Jamie McMurray 40/1       15th          5th                       37th
13. Joey Logano 25/1             16th        11th                       23rd
14. Kurt Busch 60/1               12th          7th                        4th
15. Chase Elliott 12/1             17th        16th                        8th

* Results from the June 11, 2017 race at Pocono Raceway's 2.5-mile layout, the only track that resembles Indy somewhat.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.


Brickyard 400 Starting Lineup - Kyle Busch on pole

Saturday, June 24, 2017

Final Sonoma Driver Ratings: 2017 Toyota/Save Mart 350

Martin Truex Jr. has a nice set-up in his car this weekend; he should compete for the win on Sunday.
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Toyota/Save Mart 350
Sonoma Raceway
Sunday, June 25, 2017 - 3:16 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS                  PRAC 1      PRAC 2       START 
 1. Kyle Busch 5/1                  9th         2nd         4th
 2. Kyle Larson 12/1              14th         1st         1st
 3. Denny Hamlin 18/1            2nd        27th       14th
 4. Clint Bowyer 8/1                 4th         8th        13th
 5. Martin Truex Jr. 9/2            1st        10th         3rd
 6. A.J. Allmendinger 8/1         7th          4th         5th
 7. Kevin Harvick 7/1              15th         7th        12th
 8. Kurt Busch 7/1                  18th         6th        17th
 9. Jamie McMurray 25/1        20th         5th         2nd
10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 40/1      5th         3rd        10th
11. Chase Elliott 30/1              8th        11th         8th
12. Jimmie Johnson 8/1          16th       21st        24th
13. Danica Patrick 500/1         13th       12th         6th
14. Brad Keselowski 25/1        17th        9th        23rd
15. Joey Logano 18/1              10th       16th       18th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, June 10, 2017

Final Pocono Driver Ratings: 2017 Pocono 400

Kyle Busch practiced extremely well in both sessions and starts from pole. He's never won at Pocono Raceway.
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Pocono 400
Pocono Raceway
Sunday, June 11, 2017 - 3:16 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS              PRAC 1    START    PRAC 2    *POC '16
 1. Kyle Busch 7/1                 2nd        1st        1st       31st
 2. Kevin Harvick 7/1               4th       12th        5th        9th
 3. Martin Truex Jr. 5/1          12th        2nd      15th       19th
 4. Kyle Larson 6/1                 1st         7th       3rd       11th
 5. Kurt Busch 40/1               15th        5th        6th        1st
 6. Brad Keselowski 6/1          6th         6th       2nd        3rd
 7. Matt Kenseth 12/1             3rd         3rd      11th        7th
 8. Ryan Blaney 30/1              7th         4th      14th       10th
 9. Chase Elliott 10/1             21st       25th       4th         4th
10. Jimmie Johnson 6/1         10th       19th        8th       35th
11. Joey Logano 12/1              5th         9th      10th        5th
12. Kasey Kahne 100/1         23rd       26th        9th        6th
13. Denny Hamlin 12/1          11th       18th       17th      14th
14. Erik Jones 40/1               22nd       15th      13th      DNP
15. Clint Bowyer 30/1            13th        20th      12th       18th

* POCONO 400 results from June 6, 2016.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, May 6, 2017

Final Talladega Driver Ratings: 2017 Geico 500

Can a Chevrolet break through with a plate win?
Nothing gained from practice or wherever they start. The Fords have been on a roll in plate races the past three seasons and they come off a Daytona 500 win. I'm rooting for Junior and also for Joe Gibbs Racing to get their first win, but I'm expecting a Ford and the Stewart Haas Racing guys offer most value of all. Good luck and enjoy the race. It rarely dissatisfies.


Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Geico 500
Talladega Superspeedway

Sunday, May 7, 2017 - 2:16 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS                   PRAC 1
 1. Brad Keselowski 7/1            3rd
 2. Joey Logano 7/1                  5th  
 3. Kevin Harvick 15/1               2nd 
 4. Kurt Busch 25/1                  4th
 5. Clint Bowyer 25/1                1st
 6. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 10/1       17th
 7. Denny Hamlin 7/1               12th
 8. Matt Kenseth 15/1              13th
 9. Ryan Blaney 15/1                 7th
10. Kyle Busch 15/1                14th 
11. Chase Elliott 15/1               16th
12. Austin Dillon 40/1               21st
13. Aric Almirola 50/1                9th
14. Jimmie Johnson 15/1          25th
15. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 50/1      8th
16. A.J. Allmendinger 80/1        24th
17. Kyle Larson 15/1                34th 
18. Jamie McMurray 40/1          26th
19. Martin Truex Jr. 15/1           23rd
20. Ryan Newman 50/1             20th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Final Bristol Driver Ratings: 2017 Food City 500

Dale Earnhardt Jr showed some speed in Saturday's Bristol practices; he was runner-up last spring.
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Food City 500
Bristol Motor Speedway
Sunday, April 23, 2017 - 1:16 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS                  PRAC 1      START     PRAC 2     PRAC 3
 1. Kyle Busch (6/1)               2nd         7th        1st        1st
 2. Kevin Harvick (7/1)           18th       10th        4th        8th 
 3. Erik Jones (50/1)               1st        14th        2nd       6th    
 4. Denny Hamlin (15/1)          6th        16th        3rd      17th
 5. Kurt Busch (30/1)             12th        15th       15th     11th
 6. Kasey Kahne (60/1)          13th       17th         6th       3rd
 7. Chase Elliott (8/1)             11th        2nd       14th       4th 
 8. Jimmie Johnson (10/1)      16th       11th       23rd       5th
 9. Dale Earnhardt Jr. (25/1)   24th       20th        5th      10th
10. Clint Bowyer (25/1)          15th         9th       12th       7th 
11. Brad Keselowski (6/1)      21st         4th       18th      24th 
12. Joey Logano (7/1)             9th          5th       20th      12th
13. Ryan Blaney (30/1)           3rd          6th         9th      18th

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994. 

Saturday, March 25, 2017

Final Fontana Driver Ratings: 2017 Auto Club 400

Six-time California winner Jimmie Johnson is using back-up chassis, but it looked great in Saturday's practice. 
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Auto Club 400
Auto Club (California) Speedway
Sunday, March 26, 2017 - 3:50 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS            PRAC 1 QUALIFIED  PRAC 2  PRAC 3
 1. Kyle Larson (7/1)           1st       1st      22nd       5th
2014 runner-up in rookie year; runner-up in past three races (Atlanta, Las Vegas, Phoenix)
 2. Martin Truex Jr (10/1)   11th       4th        7th       2nd
No top-5s in 16 starts; best 10-consecutive lap avg in practice 3. Won at Las Vegas.
 3. Chase Elliott (7/1)         12th     13th       2nd       1st
Sixth-place in first start last year; 2nd best 10-consecutive lap avg in practice 3.
 4. Kevin Harvick (6/1)         3rd       7th        6th       8th
2011 winner, runner-up past two years. Chassis; second at Charlotte, Darlington, won at Kansas.
 5. Jimmie Johnson (10/1)  24th      37th       4th      16th
Six-time winner, including last season; 2nd best 10 consecutive lap avg in practice 2.
 6. Joey Logano (7/1)          5th      35th      12th       6th
Career-best third in 2013, fourth last season; sixth at Atlanta and fourth at Las Vegas.
 7. Erik Jones (30/1)           18th     14th       1st        4th
Third-place in 2015 Xfinity Series race; best 10-consecutive lap avg in practice 2.
 8. Denny Hamlin (20/1)      2nd       2nd      18th      19th 
Career-best third twice, including last season; looks to be the best among Gibbs cars.
 9. Brad Keselowski (7/1)   10th       3rd        5th      13th 
2015 winner after finishing 18th or worse in first six starts; ninth last season.
10. Matt Kenseth (15/1)       8th       6th       13th       7th
Three-time winner, the last coming in 2009 with Roush Racing; 19th or worse past two years.
11. Jamie McMurray (50/1)   4th      8th       14th      20th   
Three top-5s in 24 starts, the last coming in 2005; he practiced as well as teammate Larson.
12. Ryan Blaney (25/1)        7th      19th        8th       3rd
35th in first Cup start last season, but practiced extremely well; finished seventh in Las Vegas.

Note: Good handicapping references to apply are results from Atlanta and Las Vegas this year, as well as last fall's Michigan race which used new low downforce package that is used now.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.


Saturday, March 4, 2017

Final Atlanta Driver Ratings: 2017 Folds of Honor Quik Trip 500

Jimmie Johnson didn't look as good as Hendrick Motorsports teammates during practices.
Micah Roberts' Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Driver Ratings
Folds of Honor Quik Trip 500
Atlanta Motor Speedway
Sunday, March 5, 2017 - 2:46 pm ET

RATED DRIVER     ODDS                    PRACTICE 1          QUALIFIED        PRACTICE 2      ATLANTA '16*
 1. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12/1           26th                 12th               8th                 2nd
2004 winner, 11.6 avg finish in 29 starts; second-best 10-consecutive lap avg in final practice.
 2. Chase Elliott 12/1                   19th                 11th               1st                 8th 
Has car dialed in similar to teammate Earnhardt; top-10 finishes on six 1.5-mile tracks in 2016
 3, Brad Keselowski 8/1               10th                  5th                2nd                9th
Career-best third in 2012, ninth past two seasons; won twice on high-banked 1.5s during 2016.
 4, Ryan Newman 80/1                  1st                  2nd               6th                24th
No wins anywhere since 2013, but looks strong; best 10-consecutive laps avg in final practice
 5. Denny Hamlin 12/1                   8th                 10th               5th                16th
2012 winner 18th-place avg finish; best showing among all Toyotas during final practice.  
 6. Jimmie Johnson 5/1                21st                 18th              23rd                 1st
Five-time winner, including last two years. Not very good in practice, but never doubt him here.
 7. Kevin Harvick 6/1                    25th                  1st              27th                 6th
2001 winner, his first Cup win, but none since. Led race-high 131 laps in 2016, 679 in 26 starts..
 8. Kyle Busch 6/1                         3rd                  3rd               15th                 3rd
Two-time winner, the last in 2013, with 15.2 avg finish in 18 starts; won twice on 1.5s in 2016.
 9, Kyle Larson 12/1                      6th                   8th              10th                26th 
Eighth-place as rookie in 2014; closed out 2016 on final 1.5 track leading race-high 132 laps.
10. Jamie McMurray 100/1            2nd                  7th               12th               21st 
No top-5s in 23 career starts, 20.5 avg finish, but practiced extremely well; great long shot play.
11. Martin Truex Jr. 8/1                11th                  9th               25th                7th
Didn't practice well, but leading series-high 883 laps between 11 1.5-mile tracks matters.
12. Kurt Busch 6/1                       14th                 13th               3rd                 4th
Three-time winner with 769 laps led in 25 starts; has 6.7 avg finish over past seven starts.

Note: There were only two scheduled practice session with Saturday's final session being 80 minutes.

* Results from last years Atlanta Cup (Feb 28).

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994. 

Sunday, October 30, 2016

Final Martinsville Betting Notes & Driver Ratings

Kyle Busch goes for season sweep.
Kyle Larson produced the fastest lap during Saturday’s final practice session at Martinsville Speedway in preparation for Sunday’s Goody’s Fast Relief 500.

Larson gained the top speed of 96.08 mph on his fourth of 61 laps turned on the half-mile paper clip layout, but what was more impressive was he had the best 10-consecutive lap average during long-run race simulations.

Read More Here.....Final Betting Notes


Final Martinsville Driver Ratings - LVRJ