Micah Roberts’ Top 10 Driver Ratings
Pure Michigan 400
Michigan International Speedway
Sunday, August 19, 2012 - 10:16 am (PDT)
Rating Driver Odds Practice 1 Qualified Practice 2 Practice 3
1. Greg Biffle 8/1 15th 13th 1st 1st
Two-time winner; only driver to top 200 mph during weekend; using third-place Pocono car.
2. Mark Martin 25/1 3rd 1st 4th 5th
Five-time winner, the last in 2009; great average speeds throughout Saturday sessions.
3. Matt Kenseth 8/1 21st 4th 7th 4th
Two-time winner; one of two drivers to average better than top-10 finish; using All-Star car.
4. Kasey Kahne 10/1 2nd 5th 2nd 6th
2006 winner; fast in average speeds during practice indicating strength on long runs.
5. Tony Stewart 10/1 14th 14th 16th 7th
2000 winner with a 9th-place average in past 20 starts; using runner-up chassis from June race.
6. Jimmie Johnson 5/1 1st 3rd 27th 2nd
No wins in 21 starts; engine change, starts from rear, but had fastest average speeds.
7. Carl Edwards 10/1 6th 2nd 3rd 8th
Two-time winner with track best 8.4 average finish; using fifth-place Las Vegas chassis.
8. Martin Truex Jr. 25/1 5th 7th 6th 13th
Two-time runner-up; one of six drivers to average over 195 mph in final practice session.
9. Kyle Busch 10/1 25th 23rd 9th DNP
2011 winner; fastest 10-consecutive lap average; missed final practice to race in Montreal.
10. Clint Bowyer 30/1 11th 12th 17th 11th
Finished eighth or better in past three starts; one of six drivers to average 195 mph in practice 3.
Note: Dale Earnhardt Jr. was a top candidate to win at Michigan, as he did in June, but wrecked his primary car in the late stages of the final practice session. His back-up car finished third at Fontana, but got no laps during any of the three practices and will also start from the rear..
Odds courtesy of the LVH Super Book.
Micah Roberts, a former sports book director, has been setting NASCAR lines in Las Vegas since 1995. For more Roberts insights and post-practice analysis on the race, go to VegasInsider.com or follow on Twitter: MicahRoberts7.
|Mark Martin starts from the pole for fourth time this season (Getty)|
Carl Edwards is also a driver that has a great shot at winning this week, something we haven’t said in quite a while. Despite not being fast regularly on the big-fast tracks, he’s still posted at odds of 10-to-1 this week, which doesn’t make him very attractive. He hasn’t won since Las Vegas in 2011, but he still has the best average finish at Michigan. His car owner has also won there 11 times as well.
Two drivers that should fare very well and be great looks in matchups are Clint Bowyer and Martin Truex Jr. The MWR team definitely has something working for them as all three look like candidates to win.
The best value on the board is Mark Martin. The driver no one is talking about that could make a major splash is Tony Stewart. And of course, there’s Matt Kenseth who we kind of take for granted, but seems to always find himself inside the top-5 when every Michigan race is over.