Micah Roberts’ Top 10 Driver Ratings
New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Sunday, September 23, 2012 - 11:16 a.m. (PDT)
Rating Driver Odds Practice 1 Qualified Practice 2 Practice 3
1. Denny Hamlin 5/1 1st 32nd 1st 1st
2007 winner; track best 8.5 average finish; best average lap speed in final practice.
2. Clint Bowyer 12/1 9th 12th 7th 7th
Two-time winner, using winning Richmond chassis from two weeks ago.
3. Jeff Gordon 10/1 2nd 1st 9th 15th
Three-time winner, the last in 1998; best 10-consecutive lap average in Practice2.
4. Kyle Busch 10/1 18th 2nd 5th 4th
2006 winner; great practices and good candidate to win based on April Richmond win.
5. Tony Stewart 7/1 4th 3rd 10th 8th
Three-time winner, including last fall; using new chassis that tested at Milwaukee.
6. Kevin Harvick 15/1 5th 16th 8th 9th
2006 winner; one of two drivers to average 130 mph in final practice; new chassis.
7. Jimmie Johnson 5/1 8th 20th 3rd 10th
Three-time winner, the last in 2010; using seventh-place chassis from July race.
8. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 10/1 25th 14th 17th 11th
Best finish of third in 2004; using same chassis that finished fourth in July race.
9. Kasey Kahne 8/1 6th 6th 13th 19th
2012 winner; not a standout in practices, but is using winning chassis from July.
10. Brad Keselowski 7/1 20th 15th 14th 17th
Has finished runner-up and fifth in past two starts on track; new car this week.
Note: New Hampshire’s 1.058-mile flat banked track runs similar to Richmond and Phoenix. Drivers that do well on one usually fare well on the others.
Odds courtesy of the LVH Super Book.
Micah Roberts, a former sports book director, has been setting NASCAR lines in Las Vegas since 1995. For more Roberts insights on the race, go to The Linemakers on SportingNews.com or follow on Twitter: MicahRoberts7.
And the Denny Hamlin show continues to roll through town after town. He’s been so good in practices, it’s hard to believe that he hasn’t won more races. The only problem Hamlin will have to deal with Sunday is traffic as a result of his qualifying gaffe, which starts him 32nd. Barring any run-ins with the other 31 drivers he’ll be trying to pass, he should find himself within the top-5 by half-time.
It’s no fun betting on the favorite, so taking a shot with Clint Bowyer and Jeff Gordon seems like a pretty game plan. I also think Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano and Brian Vickers present some value as well, not only in odds to win wagers, but also matchups.
Another driver that may be worth taking a shot with in matchups is Jeff Burton. The RCR cars have all been much better over the past month and at one point, no one was better at New Hampshire than Burton.