Micah Roberts’ Top 10 Driver Ratings
Dover International Speedway
Sunday, September 30, 2012 - 11:16 a.m. (PDT)
Rating Driver Odds Practice 1 Practice 2 Qualified Dover*
1. Jimmie Johnson 4/1 25th 3rd 11th 1st
Seven-time winner; using chassis that won Brickyard 400 and June Dover race.
2. Kyle Busch 8/1 6th 10th 5th 29th
Two-time winner, the last in 2010; best 10-consecutive average in final practice.
3. Mark Martin 20/1 4th 28th 26th 14th
Four-time winner, the last in 2004, three runner-ups since; using third-place Texas car.
4. Jeff Gordon 10/1 36th 1st 7th 13th
Four-time winner; comes in hot finishing third or better on four of past five tracks.
5. Kevin Harvick 15/1 9th 35th 13th 2nd
Using chassis that has produced his best finishes of 2012 -- runner-up at Phoenix and Dover.
6. Kasey Kahne 10/1 8th 13th 9th 9th
Third best 10-consecutive lap average in practice; chassis has three top-10 finishes in 2012.
7. Denny Hamlin 12/1 3rd 17th 1st 18th
Great effort in practice and qualifying, but it’s not his best track: 20.5 career average finish.
8. Brad Keselowski 10/1 29th 6th 10th 12th
Gets consideration because of solid runs at Bristol, a smaller but similar track in banking.
9. Clint Bowyer 15/1 2nd 32nd 2nd 5th
13.5 average finish; using chassis that finished eighth or better in both Pocono starts.
10. Martin Truex Jr. 15/1 1st 22nd 3rd 7th
Hometown of Mayetta, NJ only two hours away; his 2007 win remains only win of career.
* Results from the June 3, 2012 FedEx 400 at Dover.
Odds courtesy of the LVH Super Book.
Micah Roberts, a former sports book director, has been setting NASCAR lines in Las Vegas since 1995. For more Roberts insights on the race, go to The Linemakers on SportingNews.com or follow on Twitter: MicahRoberts7.
|Truex Jr gets some home cookin' this week (Getty)|
But, if Johnson doesn’t scare you, then maybe Mark Martin, Kevin Harvick or Kyle Busch can provide a little more intensity with better odds. They’re definitely drivers that should finish well, making them great drivers to play in matchups. Kasey Kahne should also be considered.
Matt Kenseth and Tony Stewart had terrible practices, but should be two drivers you try and take advantage of in matchups because they’ll be underdogs. Have no fear with Kenseth, this guy knows how to get around Dover. He comes in on a streak of finishing fifth or better in eight of his past nine starts.