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| Kevin Harvick doesn't look so hot at Phoenix this week; he wasn't happy Harvick after Saturday's final practice. |
Camping World 500
Phoenix International Raceway
Sunday, March 19, 2017 - 3:46 pm ET
RATED DRIVER ODDS PRAC 1 QUALIFIED PRAC 2 PRAC 3
1. Joey Logano (5/1) 3rd 1st 2nd 1st
2016 fall winner; ninth or better in six of past seven. 19.5% of PIR winners start from front row.
2. Kyle Busch (6/1) 6th 9th 10th 3rd
2005 win, runner-up last fall, 12.8 avg in 23 starts; best 20-consecutive lap avg in final practice.
3. Chase Elliott (10/1) 1st 7th 1st 12th
Top-10 in both races last season; no wins anywhere, but he's got the fastest car on track.
4. Martin Truex Jr. (15/1) 4th 16th 4th 9th
Career-best fifth in 2009, his only top-five in 22 starts; best 10-consecutive lap avg in practice 2.
5. Jimmie Johnson (15/1) 9th 14th 20th 5th
Four-time winner with series-best 8.9 avg finish in 27 starts, going to be strong on long runs.
6. Kevin Harvick (5/2) 13th 23rd 6th 16th
Track record eight wins, including six of last nine starts; using fifth-place Michigan chassis.
7. Kyle Larson (12/1) 2nd 4th 3rd 8th
Career-best third last fall; his car has been fast everywhere past two weeks with two runner-ups.
8. Dale Earnhardt Jr. (20/1) 7th 3rd 7th 12th
Three-time winner, the last in 2015; back-up driver led most laps (194) in No. 88 last fall (6th).
9. Brad Keselowski (6/1) 14th 6th 5th 4th
Career-best third-place in 2014; has traditionally fared well at Richmond and New Hampshire.
10. Matt Kenseth (18/1) 11th 12th 15th 2nd
2002 winner with 16.4 avg in 28 starts; winner and runner-up in both 2016 NMHS races.
11. Kasey Kahne (60/1) 8th 10th 8th 11th
2011 winner and 2013 runner-up; practiced well, car is showing the speed missing from 2016.
12. Denny Hamlin (10/1) 12th 19th 13th 17th
2012 winner with 10.8 avg finish in 23 starts; fifth-best 10 consecutive lap avg in practice 2. Starts from rear.
Note: A good ritual before handicapping Phoenix is to review what happened not only in both 2016 Phoneix races, but also results from New Hampshire and Richmond. Those three flat tracks correlate well together over the years with similar set-up requirements. If a driver does well on one, they usually do well on the other two.
Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.
2016 fall winner; ninth or better in six of past seven. 19.5% of PIR winners start from front row.
2. Kyle Busch (6/1) 6th 9th 10th 3rd
2005 win, runner-up last fall, 12.8 avg in 23 starts; best 20-consecutive lap avg in final practice.
3. Chase Elliott (10/1) 1st 7th 1st 12th
Top-10 in both races last season; no wins anywhere, but he's got the fastest car on track.
4. Martin Truex Jr. (15/1) 4th 16th 4th 9th
Career-best fifth in 2009, his only top-five in 22 starts; best 10-consecutive lap avg in practice 2.
5. Jimmie Johnson (15/1) 9th 14th 20th 5th
Four-time winner with series-best 8.9 avg finish in 27 starts, going to be strong on long runs.
6. Kevin Harvick (5/2) 13th 23rd 6th 16th
Track record eight wins, including six of last nine starts; using fifth-place Michigan chassis.
7. Kyle Larson (12/1) 2nd 4th 3rd 8th
Career-best third last fall; his car has been fast everywhere past two weeks with two runner-ups.
8. Dale Earnhardt Jr. (20/1) 7th 3rd 7th 12th
Three-time winner, the last in 2015; back-up driver led most laps (194) in No. 88 last fall (6th).
9. Brad Keselowski (6/1) 14th 6th 5th 4th
Career-best third-place in 2014; has traditionally fared well at Richmond and New Hampshire.
10. Matt Kenseth (18/1) 11th 12th 15th 2nd
2002 winner with 16.4 avg in 28 starts; winner and runner-up in both 2016 NMHS races.
11. Kasey Kahne (60/1) 8th 10th 8th 11th
2011 winner and 2013 runner-up; practiced well, car is showing the speed missing from 2016.
12. Denny Hamlin (10/1) 12th 19th 13th 17th
2012 winner with 10.8 avg finish in 23 starts; fifth-best 10 consecutive lap avg in practice 2. Starts from rear.
Note: A good ritual before handicapping Phoenix is to review what happened not only in both 2016 Phoneix races, but also results from New Hampshire and Richmond. Those three flat tracks correlate well together over the years with similar set-up requirements. If a driver does well on one, they usually do well on the other two.
Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.
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