Saturday, June 23, 2018

Final Sonoma Driver Ratings: 2018 Toyota/Save Mart 350

Martin Truex Jr. quietly looking like he's got one of the best cars this weekend.
MICAH ROBERTS' 2018 MONSTER ENERGY NASCAR CUP SERIES DRIVER RATINGS
2018 TOYOTA/SAVE MART 350
SONOMA RACEWAY
SUNDAY, JUNE 24, 2018 - 3:18 PM ET

RATING   DRIVER   ODDS                 PRAC 1   PRAC 2    QUALIFIED   
 1. Kevin Harvick (4/1)             12th        5th           6th
 2. Martin Truex Jr (4/1)            8th        3rd            2nd
 3. Clint Bowyer (6/1)                 1st       17th         19th
 4. Kurt Busch (8/1)                   14th        1st         23rd
 5. Denny Hamlin (10/1)           17th       2nd          21st
 6. Jimmie Johnson (25/1)          6th      18th            7th
 7. A.J. Allmendinger (15/1)       9th       12th           5th
 8. Kyle Busch (4/1)                   18th      19th            9th
 9. Jamie McMurray (30/1)         4th         4th            4th
10. Ryan Blaney (20/1)                2nd       24th         11th
11. Chase Elliott (30/1)              13th       15th           3rd
12. Daniel Suarez (100/1)             5th       33rd         16th
13. Brad Keselowski (20/1)        23rd         7th          10th
14. Kyle Larson (30/1)                 16th       14th           1st
15. Joey Logano (10/1)                  3rd       30th         12th

Note: Only two of 29 Cup races at Sonoma have been won from a starting position of 15th or worse and they came in back-to-back seasons with Juan Pablo Montoya (32nd) in 2007 and Kyle Busch (30th) in 2008. This is something to seriously consider when discussing possible wagers on skilled road drivers who practiced well but start a ways back. Lots of traffic with limited places to pass and more opportunities to be involved in someone else's mess. This should be factored in the odds to win and match-up prices considerably. Having said all that, I could be baited into taking more on Clint Bowyer (19th), Denny Hamlin (21st) and Kurt Busch (23rd) if the sports books jack the number up too high.

Opening odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting auto racing odds in Las Vegas since 1994.

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