Micah Roberts’ Top 10 Driver Ratings
Texas Motor Speedway
Sunday, November 4, 2012 - 12:16 p.m. (PDT)
Rating Driver Odds Practice 1 Qualified Practice 2 Practice 3
1. Jimmie Johnson 5/1 27th 1st 2nd 4th
2007 winner with 9.7 career average finish; using chassis that won All-Star race.
2. Matt Kenseth 10/1 7th 10th 14th 3rd
Two-time winner; track best 8.6 average finish; best 10-consecutive-lap average in practice 3
3. Greg Biffle 10/1 10th 2nd 4th 11th
Two-time winner, including April race; has finished fifth or better in past four starts on track.
4. Brad Keselowski 8/1 3rd 8th 1st 1st
Was star of Saturday’s practice sessions, but 25.3 average in eights starts counts against him.
5. Clint Bowyer 12/1 4th 4th 6th 2nd
13.3 average finish, runner-up in 2011; using winning Charlotte chassis from three weeks ago.
6. Denny Hamlin 5/1 11th 12th 3rd 6th
Swept 2010 season; recent win at Atlanta and runner-up at Charlotte says he’ll be very good.
7. Jeff Gordon 12/1 26th 16th 11th 13th
Eight top-five finishes, including 2009 win; second best 10-consecutive lap average in practice 2.
8. Carl Edwards 15/1 12th 9th 5th 5th
Three-time winner; showed dramatic change in practices from rest of season, he may be back.
9. Martin Truex Jr. 15/1 1st 5th 10th 12th
Had the best average speeds and third best 10-consecutive lap average in practice 2.
10. Kyle Busch 8/1 14th 3rd 7th 8th
15.8 career average finish; strong Atlanta and Charlotte runs make him a contender.
Note: Recent results from races held at Texas’ sister 1.5-mile high-banked tracks in Atlanta (Sept 2) and Charlotte (Oct. 13) offer great insight to who may be the best prepared Sunday.
Odds courtesy of the LVH Super Book.
Micah Roberts, a former sports book director, has been setting NASCAR lines in Las Vegas since 1995. For more Roberts insights on the race, go to The Linemakers on SportingNews.com or follow on Twitter: MicahRoberts7.
|Keselowski turned the pressure up on Johnson with practice (Getty)|
Instead of Johnson coming in full of confidence -- which he will anyway -- knowing Keselowski‘s track-record at Texas, now he knows he’s got to bring his A-game Sunday. He turned the tables back around on Johnson, and even though Johnson won’t acknowledge such, there is more pressure on him to win his sixth title than there is on Keselowski to win his first. Also in the back of Johnson’s mind is spinning out and losing control on his own at Texas last fall, which helped eliminate his chances of winning six straight titles.
Having said all that, I really like Matt Kenseth, Greg Biffle and Clint Bowyer in this race. I think the top long shot is Martin Truex Jr and I also think Carl Edwards actually has a chance to win as well, for some of the same reasons I like Biffle and Kenseth.