Micah Roberts’ Top 10 Driver Ratings
Tums Fast Relief 500
Sunday, October 28, 2012 - 11:16 a.m. (PDT)
Rating Driver Odds Practice 1 Qualified Practice 2 Practice 3
1. Brian Vickers 50/1 1st 2nd 1st 1st
Thoroughly dominated all practice sessions; fastest 10-consecutive lap average in Practice 2.
2. Jimmie Johnson 4/1 7th 1st 4th 6th
Six-time winner with 5.8 career average finish; using brand new chassis this week.
3. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12/1 2nd 20th 8th 2nd
Using chassis that he’s raced in past four Martinsville races to a fourth-place average.
4. Denny Hamlin 7/2 3rd 5th 11th 5th
Four-time winner with a 6.4 career average; 20-points behind in Chase, needs this one bad.
5. Jeff Gordon 7/1 4th 11th 2nd 3rd
Seven-time winner with 7.1 career average; best 10-consecutive lap average in final practice.
6. Kyle Busch 10/1 8th 3rd 5th 4th
Career best of third-place in 2011, finished fourth four times; good showing in all practices.
7. Clint Bowyer 15/1 5th 8th 6th 10th
Only one top-five finish in 13 starts, but MWR cars have something working well this weekend.
8. Tony Stewart 8/1 12th 7th 12th 22nd
Three-time winner, the last in 2011; using chassis that finished third and fourth at Richmond.
9. Ryan Newman 25/1 13th 17th 20th 8th
Won the spring race in April; using chassis that has raced to three top-10 finishes in four starts.
10. Paul Menard 100/1 6th 9th 7th 7th
Career best of 13th in 2010, but looked great in practice; using chassis from first race in April.
Note: This is the second race of the season held on the flat half-mile track. The first race was held on April 1, won by Ryan Newman.
Odds courtesy of the LVH Super Book.
Micah Roberts, a former sports book director, has been setting NASCAR lines in Las Vegas since 1995. For more Roberts insights on the race, go to The Linemakers on SportingNews.com or follow on Twitter: MicahRoberts7.
|Brian Vickers no longer at 50/1 odds (Getty)|
I’m a little late to the party with Vickers -- missing out on the 50-to-1 odds, but I’ll be happy with 12 or 15-to-1 odds. At Martinsville you want your driver to be able to get out front early and then take off. Before you know it, he’ll be making his last pit stop, and the race will be almost over. He’s got the look of a car in practices that looks dominating in the same way Hamlin, Johnson and Gordon have when they rolled to wins.
The only question mark with Vickers is that he doesn’t have a great record at Martinsville. No top-5 finishes over his career in 14 starts. But then again, he never had a car this good, either.