Friday, March 13, 2015

NASCAR odds: Kevin Harvick a massive favorite to win again at Phoenix

Can anyone beat Kevin Harvick this week?
LAS VEGAS -- Kevin Harvick has won three straight Sprint Cup races at Phoenix International Raceway, and four of the past five, a major reason he is a massive 3-to-1 favorite to win Sunday's 500. Another contributing factor is that Harvick is in the midst of an epic run that has seen him finish first or second in the first three races of 2015. If we go back to the end of his 2014 Sprint Cup championship season, he's finished first or second in six straight races.

When considering his current form and history at Phoenix, you could argue his 3-to-1 price at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook is a bargain. Brad Keselowski owns the next highest odds (7-to-1), and then it's Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Joey Logano all at 8-to-1.

Harvick's six wins at Phoenix are the most in track history since the first Cup race was held there in 1988. Johnson is next with four wins and has a track-best 7.7 average finish, but he's currently on his longest drought at Phoenix, with no wins there in his past 10 starts. In 23 career starts at the track, Johnson has an amazing 14 top-five finishes.

Keselowski has never won at Phoenix, but did win last season on similar flat tracks at Richmond and New Hampshire. He's finished sixth or better in five of his past six Phoenix starts.

Logano had his best season of racing at Phoenix last year with a fourth- and sixth-place finish, and his career best was third-place in 2010 while driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.

Earnhardt Jr. won in back-to-back seasons at Phoenix in 2003 and 2004, when the track had only one race a year, and he's finished eighth or better in his past four starts there. He's also the only driver close to Harvick in consistency through the first three races this season, with top-five finishes in all three.

Jeff Gordon's swan-song season couldn't have started much worse, but he's still respected by Las Vegas. He's won only twice in 32 Phoenix starts, but he was fifth and runner-up in the track's two races last season.

Denny Hamlin comes in at 12-to-1 odds, largely because he loves racing on flat tracks. He won at Phoenix in 2012 and has an 11th-place average finish in 19 career starts.

We wish there were some trends showing Harvick has a good shot at being upset this week, but they really don't exist. He's got everything rolling for him, and he's at his best track, one on which he's been on cruise control since his days in the Winston West series.

Read More Here.......Phoenix odds to win from Westgate

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