Saturday, June 11, 2016

Final Michigan Driver Ratings Following all Practice Sessions

Brad Keselowski looks like solid wager to win his first Michigan race.
Michigan native Brad Keselowski (8/1) tops the rating chart as the most likley to win Sunday's FireKeepers 400 at Michigan International Speedway. He's never won on his home track, but his Saturday practices were impressive enough to give him a slight nod over the race favorites of Kevin Harvick (5/1) and Jimmie Johnson (7/1).

During Saturday's early session, Keselowski had the fifth fastest lap (197.395 mph) and then in the later 55-minute session he was second fastest (194.013 mph) while also having the second-best 10-consecutive lap average.

Micah Roberts' Top-10 Rated NASCAR Drivers
FireKeepers Casino 400
Michigan International Speedway
Sunday, June 12, 2016 - 1:18 pm (ET)    

Rating     Driver       Odds     Practice 1  Qualified   Practice 2   Practice 3
 1. Brad Keselowski 8/1            8th             15th             5th             2nd
Runner-up in 2012; the Michigan native has finished 13th or better in past nine starts.
 2. Jimmie Johnson 7/1             9th             16th             8th             3rd
2014 winner, his only win in 28 starts (16.8 avg.); Series leading 633 laps led over career.
 3. Martin Truex Jr. 7/1             2nd             2nd              6th             7th
Runner-up twice in 2007, third in both 2015 races. Series leading 809 laps led in 2016.
 4. Carl Edwards 8/1                  3rd             11th              1st            17th
Two-time winner (2007, 2008) with the best average finish among all active drivers.
 5. Kevin Harvick 5/1                 5th             29th            13th           16th
2010 winner; runner-up in five of past six starts. Chassis: five top-2 finishes in eight starts.
 6. Kyle Busch 8/1                     13th            17th             2nd           18th
2011 winner, but 31st or worse in four of past fuve starts; 30th or worse in last three in 2016.
 7. Joey Logano 8/1                  17th              1st               3rd            9th
2013 winner and ninth or better in last six starts. Still searching for forst 2016, won six in 2015.
 8. Matt Kenseth 8/1                30th            19th            14th           15th
Three-time winner, including last fall; 10.1 average finish is second-best, 14 top-fives is best.
 9. Chase Elliott 18/1                  1st             10th            18th           21st
Makes Cup debut on track, runner-up in Xfinity series last year. 10 top-10 finishes in 2016.
10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 18/1       4th             27th              9th            6th
Two-time winner (2008, 2012), runner-up last June -- averaged sixth-place finish in last four.

Note: The wide 2-mile layout is the sister track of Fontana, which Johnson won at on March 20.

Odds courtesy of the Westgate SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting NASCAR odds since 1994. Follow him on twitter @MicahRoberts7

No comments: