2 #5 Kyle Larson (11/1) - He’s been 29th or worse in seven races this season but he also leads the Cup Series with 10 top-fives. He grabbed his first road course win in 2021 and he notched three wins. That was with the old car. He’s had one win on the roads in his last nine starts with the new car. He was third at Indy in 2021 and 35th last season. I’ll have a bet on him to win.
3 #91 Shane Van Gisbergen (6/1) - The road course ringer shook the NASCAR world with a win on the Chicago streets. Boris Said couldn’t do it, Ron Fellows couldn’t do it, and every other ringer dating back to the great Dan Gurney couldn’t do it. SVG had the skills to win, but his car was amazing. It’s a Trackhouse Racing car that was fast off the hauler and stayed fast all race at Chicago. He showed all the roundy-rounders in NASCAR how to do it. Now let’s see him do it again.
4 #45 Tyler Reddick (6/1) - He’s had some trouble on the courses his last two at Sonoma and Chicago but he’s won three of the last seven on road courses. And he’s led lots of laps in five of his last seven road races, He won at Indy last season leading 38 of the 86 laps. I think he’ll be back to normal this week running in the top-five most of the race.
5 #19 Martin Truex Jr. (9/2) - In 47 road course starts he has five wins and 14 top-fives and he added to his win total at Sonoma in June in a dominating performance leading 51 laps. It’s as if all the JGR Toyotas got road course fast at the same time. Truex is one of the best on the roads, but now he’s the favorite so I’ve left him out of my betting portfolio this week.
6 #8 Kyle Busch (11/1) - He has four road course wins over his career but the reason you bet him this week is that he’s knocking on the door of a win each time out with his 2023 car, the one Reddick used to drive to wins. He’s been runner-up twice in it at COTA and Sonoma and then was fifth with it at Chicago. I’ll be looking for better odds, but I’ll have something on him to win.
7 #11 Denny Hamlin (16/1) - He hasn’t been as good as his past in his last nine road course events but I think his car is better now than in those previous attempts. He won at Watkins Glen in 2016 and has 13 top-fives on the roads. He’s also been on the pole in the last two road races at Chicago and at Sonoma. He’ll have a good run this week.
8 #17 Chris Buescher (20/1) - You drop $5 on him only because he’s won the last two races on the schedule and the road course is his thing. It’s what got him discovered in NASCAR. You also bet him because he’s had eight straight top-10s on road courses (Chicago included). RFK Racing is putting fast cars out there every week. They’re getting stronger and they were already strong on the roads with Buescher. Yes, he’s worth a bet to win this week. Shop around.
9 #99 Daniel Suarez (22/1) - He hasn’t been able to achieve the same success he had last season this season, but you know he’s still the same driver that likes road racing. He won his first career race at Sonoma last season and was fifth at both Road America and Watkins Glen. The problem with betting on him this week is that he’s desperate for solid points. He’s only 5-points behind the 16th and final playoff spot. If he drives for the win, he puts himself in a more volatile situation.
10 #2 Austin Cindric (28/1) - This is the driver I recommend throwing $5 on because he’s in NASCAR due to his road skills and he’s desperate to make the playoffs with three races in the regular season remaining. He’s 53 points from the transfer position, or he could just go win the race and get the auto-qualifier. In 12 road races in Cup, he has seven top-10s. He was sixth at COTA and also sixth at Chicago. You’ll waste $5 on far worse things this weekend.
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