Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Talladega Betting Preview: Crap shoot as always

Who should we bet this week at Talladega?
LAS VEGAS -- You couldn't ask for a better track for an elimination race of the Chase than Talladega's super badass 2.66-mile layout. We can throw out all the 1.5-mile certainty nonsense where the same group of drivers consistently finish in the top-five because this beast of a track makes everyone almost equal. The edge is gone for the elite teams.

Talladega is a more about drivers getting lucky mixed in with a little of their own skill. Everyone's goal is to just stay out of trouble long enough to avoid the big one and some have a penchant for being better at it than others, but it still is really just a crap shoot.

Four drivers will have their heads on the Chase chopping block and will be eliminated from Championship contention will eight drivers will advance to the Eliminator Round, where after three more sets of races, only four will be left standing the Championship Race at Homestead.

So far, only Joey Logano has qualified by virtue of winning in this Contender Round. In fact, he's won both races so far which puts the 11 other contenders in a tough spot.

Some, like Denny Hamlin, Kurt Busch and Carl Edwards are positioned better than others while others like Kyle Busch, Ryan Newman, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Matt Kenseth are outside looking in as the bottom four. Still, none of those 11 drivers are safe as the Talladega beast looms and doesn't care where anyone sits in points.

We're going to see a lot of drivers currently sitting in the top-eight in points play it safe early on while those outside looking in are going to need to spice things up a bit to keep their season alive. The four drivers outside looking right now are all compelling stories.

Kyle Busch is six points out of eighth-place, and while we've never seen him perfrom well in the Chase, I think everyone was on board with him faring well this season after winning four races during a five-race stretch that ended in July. He hasn't won since, and he may be feeling the pressure a little at Talladega where he does have a win, but his average finish position is 22.3.

Read More Here...Top-5 Finish Prediction at

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