Saturday, October 3, 2015

Final Dover AAA 400 Practice Notes & Driver Ratings

Kyle Busch needs a strong run Sunday at Dover, while Kasey Kahne looks like he's got his best car of 2015...what took so long? Better late than never!
Micah Roberts' Top-10 Rated NASCAR Drivers
AAA 400
Dover International Speedway
Sunday, October 4, 2015 - 11:45 am (PT)
Rating     Driver       Odds                    Practice 2            Practice 3        Start Pos.     Dover May*
 1. Kevin Harvick 9/2                  4th               1st              15th           2nd
No wins in 29 career starts, but needs one here to keep championship repeat hopes alive.  
 2. Jimmie Johnson 4/1             8th               8th              5th             1st 
Track record 10 wins and 2,999 laps led in 27 starts; no wins since last Dover race in May.
 3. Matt Kenseth 7/1                  9th              13th             1st            39th
Two-time winner; 15 top-five finishes in 33 starts. Four wins in past eight races on schedule.
 4. Carl Edwards 10/1                 2nd              2nd             3rd            19th
2007 winner with 10.6 average finish in 22 starts, which is second-best behind Johnson (7.8).
 5. Brad Keselowski 8/1            6th                6th             8th            12th 
2012 winner; runner-up in both races last season. Tough, physical track suits his style well.
 6.Kurt Busch 15/1                       7th                4th             7th            31st
2011 winner, his last top-10 finish there. Best 10-consecutive lap average in final practice.
 7. Joey Logano 7/1                    13th               9th             4th            11th
Eleventh or better in past seven Dover starts; won at similar Bristol half-mile layout last month.
 8. Kasey Kahne 50/1                  1st                3rd            17th             4th 
Second career top-five finish (23 starts) in May; best 10-consecutive lap average in early practice.
 9. Kyle Busch 7/1                      19th              7th            13th            36th
Two-time winner; sits one point behind 12th-place Chase transfer position. Needs strong finish.
 10. Denny Hamlin 8/1                3rd             15th             2nd            21st
Not his best track (19.3 average), but did lead 118 laps in May race and now has no pressure.

Note: Rain washed away Friday's scheduled practice and qualifying. Starting lineup was set by driver points.

* Results from the May 31, 2015 FedEx 400 at Dover.

Odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas Super Book.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting NASCAR odds since 1994. Follow him on twitter @MicahRoberts7

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