Wednesday, July 29, 2020

New Hampshire Betting Preview: 2020 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

Is it time for Joey Logano to break out? Situation is good for him.
Date: Sunday, August 2, 2020
New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Location: Loudon, New Hampshire
Television-Time: NBCSN, 3:00 p.m. ET
Handicapping NASCAR
at New Hampshire


We have a couple of drivers to win Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway offered at 14-to-1 odds that have a great shot to win and I recommend visiting your favorite sportsbook sooner than later to take advantage of the generosity before both numbers drop.

They’ve combined to win three of the 19 NASCAR Cup Series races this season and four of the 20 if you count the non-points All-Star Race. Could I sell you on the idea of betting Joey Logano or Chase Elliott winning in what will be the first Cup race in the Northeast this season?

We have a couple of drivers to win Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway offered at 14/1 odds that have a great shot to win and I recommend visiting your favorite sportsbook sooner than later to take advantage of the generosity before both numbers drop.

They’ve combined to win three of the 19 NASCAR Cup Series races this season and four of the 20 if you count the non-points All-Star Race. Could I sell you on the idea of betting Joey Logano or Chase Elliott winning in what will be the first Cup race in the Northeast this season?
NASCAR Cup Series
Handicapping New Hampshire
Understand the Packages!

Before you answer, let me give my best sales pitch beginning with the race package that’s being used this week.

It’s the package with the tiny spoilers and engines producing 750 horsepower which has been used only four times this season, the last being the All-Star Race at Bristol won by Elliott.

Denny Hamlin leads the series with five wins and Kevin Harvick is next with four wins, but of the nine combined wins, none came using this week’s race package. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has Harvick as the 3/1 betting favorite (Bet $100 to win $300) and Hamlin at 5/1 odds.
Local 22

Joey Logano, from nearby Middleton, CT, won his first career Cup race at New Hampshire in 2009 and won there again in 2014 and also swept two K&N Series races in 2007. He has two wins this season but both came before the shutdown -- none in the 15 races since the season re-started.

While that last part doesn’t sound encouraging to drop your hard-earned money on, it’s because of that the odds are high at 14/1 after being 10/1 and 12/1 most of the season.

The two main points of why I like Logano to win this week are that he won at Phoenix and that he’s using the 750 horsepower package which Team Penske has a slight edge with than the other elite teams. The Phoenix win is important because Logano beat runner-up Harvick who has nine wins at Phoenix. The 1-mile length of Phoenix is similar to New Hampshire and the flat layout is similar so the set-up for both is similar. If a driver does well at one, they usually do well on the other.

In the four races using the 750 package, Logano has the Phoenix win and led a race-high 234 laps at Martinsville before finishing fourth. The Martinsville layout is a flat half-mile paperclip, a mini-New Hampshire of sorts.

And then the final reason I put the most of my allotted weekly bankroll on Logano was that I think this moment is something Logano, his crew, and guys in the Charlotte garage know they can win and break the non-win streak. If I know they’re great with this package, I know they know.

They should all be a little more fired up this week which means a little extra bit of attention to detail before the car is thrown onto the hauler. This may not make sense to some but I tell myself notes and beliefs to justify a wager. Logano is my guy this week.

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