Back to the regular 2016 aero-package at New Hampshire

Brad Keselowski won for third time at Kentucky Speedway on Saturday.

Last week at Kentucky Speedway we had all kinds of variables to worry about in the handicapping process in order to find the winner, but all things are back to normal this weekend.

The 19th race of the NASCAR Sprint Cup season takes us to the flat one-mile layout of New Hampshire Motor Speedway. There’s no new paving issue, it’s the same aero-package that has run most of the season and the race also features a familiar tire, unlike last week.

Despite having all kinds of obstacles stacked in front of us at Kentucky, we still managed to sniff out the winner early before all the practice data came in. This week’s practices for the New Hampshire 301 will be almost as important as Kentucky, but we can get a head start on buying some value on early odds to win, based on what happened during earlier races on similar tracks at Phoenix and Richmond.

It’s important to think in terms of horse racing where there are good horses for certain courses. In NASCAR it’s similar, whether it’s a driver who really likes a certain type of track or his crew chief has been able to set-up a car perfectly for that type.

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