Kenseth, Busch and Johnson 6-to-1 co-favorites to win Texas NRA 500

Johnson 6/1 to win his 3rd Texas race, Gordon is 15/1 to win his 2nd

LAS VEGAS -- Throughout the history of the sister tracks at Texas and Las Vegas, we’ve routinely seen drivers who excel at one do the same at the other, even when Las Vegas had a much flatter banking. Roush drivers Jeff Burton, Mark Martin and Matt Kenseth were early winners at both tracks when the facilities were relatively new.

When Las Vegas changed its layout to a progressive banking prior to the 2007 season, the tracks became very similar to each other. Jimmie Johnson won at both tracks immediately after the changes in 2007, then Carl Edwards hit the triple jackpot in 2008 by winning at Las Vegas and both Texas races. Tony Stewart won the fall Texas race in 2011 and came right back early in the 2012 season to win at Vegas.

So since Matt Kenseth won at Las Vegas in early March, and Kyle Busch finished fourth, it’s easy to see why the LVH SuperBook has placed those two along with Johnson as co-favorites to win Saturday night’s NRA 500 at 6-to-1 odds

The odds reflect a change in how the books feel about Johnson in his new Gen-6 car on the downforce tracks. Johnson is generally the lone favorite at most downforce tracks, but after finishing sixth at Las Vegas and 12th at California — those races were won by Gibbs drivers Kenseth and Busch, respectively — the perception of Johnson having an edge over everyone else isn’t as prevalent as it used to be.

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