Thursday, May 12, 2016

Odds to win: Johnson easy Dover favorite based on track record 10 wins

Jimmie Johnson has Dover figured out better than anyone, ever!
LAS VEGAS -- The 12th race of the 2016 NASCAR Sprint Cup season takes us to the northeast for the first time for Sunday's AAA 400 at Dover International Speedway. Four of the six drivers to win so far have multiple wins and one of those, Jimmie Johnson, has a Dover record 10 wins over 28 starts, which includes winning three of the past five on the high-banked, one-mile concrete oval known as The Monster Mile.

Because of Johnson's dominance of winning once every 2.8 times on the track, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has installed him as the 7-to-2 favorite. His 2,999 laps led are also a track record, but even when he doesn't dominate, he still manages to find ways to win. Take last spring when eight drivers combined to lead the first 377 laps, but as the race went on he got stronger and the only laps he led on the day were the final 23.

“There is just something about Dover that fits my driving style," said Johnson of his affection for the track. "There is some weird pressure that comes with that — we aren’t too happy when we aren’t running up to our expectations. It’s a tough race for sure and so many things can go wrong but it also suits (No. 48 team crew chief) Chad Knaus' style. When I think back to having 10 wins at Dover I just think about the three or four that got away from me over the years. It’s an unbelievable track, I wish we raced at Dover more than twice a year.”

The rest of the field has their hands full again this week and as you can see by the low price, Johnson winning at Dover is more of an expectancy.

Here's a look at all the drivers odds this week, along their Dover resume: 

NASCAR at Dover betting odds, driver breakdown

Jimmie JOHNSON 7/2 - He became the fifth driver to have 10 or more wins at a single track when he won at Dover last May. He's got an eighth-place average finish and has won seven of the past 14 races, which somehow seems to make 7-to-2 odds to win seem like value.

Kyle BUSCH 5/1 - He's a two-time winner — the last in 2010 — and comes in having won three of the past six races to take over the series lead for victories. He finished second in this race last fall. His crew chief and lug nut changer will be suspended for this race, but the system is well rehearsed and ready to roll no matter who sits atop the pit box.

Kevin HARVICK 6/1 - After 30 career Monster Mile starts, he finally got his first victory there last fall by leading 355 of the 400 laps, and he's bringing that same chassis back again this week. In the spring race he led 91 laps and was 23 laps away from victory before being passed and settled for another runner-up. He was the top performer between both 2015 Dover races.

Read More Here....complete list of odds to win on

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