Sunday, May 15, 2016

2016 AAA Dover Betting Notes

Jimmie Johnson’s performances at Dover International Speedway have been one of the more consistent, bankable betting options offered at sports books.

Johnson has won 10 of 28 starts on the high-banked, one-mile concrete layout, including a sweep during his 2002 rookie year — he won only three races that season.

Johnson has won seven of the past 14 races there and three of five, including last May, so his 7-2 odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Sprint Cup AAA 400 Drive for Autism look attractive.

There’s such a huge sample size, and with so many changes to rules, aero-packages and body designs, the only relevant constant over Johnson’s 28 races has been the driver, crew chief, owner and Dover’s concrete known as “The Monster Mile.”

The only reason Johnson isn’t in the 5-2 or 3-1 range is because his competition has narrowed the gap. Between all the Joe Gibbs Racing drivers, Team Penske and a portion of Stewart Haas’ stable, Johnson has his hands full.

Last spring at Dover, Kevin Harvick gave up the lead to Johnson with 23 laps left and finished second. It was Johnson’s only laps led of the day. In the fall race, Harvick led 355 of 400 laps and won at Dover for the first time in 30 starts. He’s using that same chassis this weekend.

Read More

Final top-10 Dover Ratings following all practices

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