Friday, April 8, 2016

Final Texas driver ratings following all practices: 2016 Duck Commander 500

Carl Edwards is a 3-time winner at Texas and is 12/1 to win Saturday.
LAS VEGAS -- Martin Truex Jr. was fastest in both practice sessions at Texas Motor Speedway in preparation for Saturday night's Duck Commander 500, but Jimmie Johnson is still the driver to beat based on past history on the high-banked 1.5-mile layout and also what he's done this season on similar tracks where the low downforce package figures prominently.

Micah Roberts' Top-10 Rated NASCAR Drivers
Duck Commander 500
Texas Motor Speedway
Saturday, April 9, 2016 - 4:46 pm (PT)  

Rating     Driver       Odds     Practice 1   Qualified  Practice 2   Atlanta*
 1. Jimmie Johnson 9/2              6th               11th             7th              1st    
Track-best six-time winner, including last three, four of last five and five of last seven.
 2. Brad Keselowski 8/1             2nd                8th            14th             9th
Led 312 of the 334 lap in fall Texas race. Third best 10-consecutive lap average in practice 2.
 3. Martin Truex Jr. 15/1             1st                 3rd              1st              7th
An 8.5 average finish last season, 14.7 over 21 races. Super-fast in both practice sessions.
 4. Joey Logano 7/1                      3rd                2nd              5th            12th
Top-five in four of past six starts, including 2014 win; runner-up at Las Vegas bodes well.
 5. Kevin Harvick 9/2                  24th              22nd           11th             6th
No wins in 26 starts, six top-fives; one more runner-up and he'll tie Johnson for 10th all-time.
 6. Matt Kenseth 8/1                  11th                9th            22nd           19th
Two-time winner with track-record tying 13 top-five finishes in 26 starts; 9.4 average finish.
 7. Kurt Busch 15/1                      25th               21st              6th             4th
2009 winner with 15.5 average finish in 26 starts; using pole sitting chassis from Las Vegas.
 8. Austin Dillon 30/1                    4th              10th            13th           11th  
He just keeps plugging along with career year; best 10-consecutive lap average in practice 2.
 9. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 15/1         26th             16th            17th             2nd
Won first career race here (2000), but none since in 26 starts; sixth or better past three starts.
10. Carl Edwards 12/1                  21st               1st               2nd             5th
Three-time winner, but none since sweep of 2008; finished fifth in the fall last season.

* Results from Feb. 28 race at Atlanta Motor Speedway, which is the most similar high-banked 1.5-mile track to Texas run in 2016 so far.

Odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts, a former Las Vegas sports book director, has been setting NASCAR odds since 1994. Follow him on twitter @MicahRoberts7

FYI......Kyle Busch was actually fourth and didn't come through on the final equation for some reason. Sorry for the error 

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