Saturday, November 14, 2015

Final Phoenix Driver Ratings & Practice Notes

Kurt Busch is using same chassis this week at Phoenix that led 291 laps en route to win at Richmond in April.
Micah Roberts’ Top-10 Driver Ratings
Quicken Loans Race for Heroes 500
Phoenix International Raceway  
Sunday, November 15, 2015 -  11:45 am (PT)

RATING    DRIVER   ODDS         PRAC 1     QUALIFIED     PRAC 2      PRAC 3
 1. Kurt Busch 12/1               3rd            2nd          1st           1st 
2005 winner; best 10-consecutive lap average in practice 2; using winning Richmond chassis.
 2. Kevin Harvick 9/4             6th            8th           4th          5th 
Seven-time winner, including last four; using winning chassis from March race that led 224 laps.
 3. Jimmie Johnson 10/1       1st            1st           6th          2nd 
Four-time winner, track best 7.8 average finish; best 10 consecutive lap average in practice 3.
 4. Carl Edwards 12/1           4th             4th          2nd          8th 
Two-time winner, the last in 2013. He’s only seven points out of fourth and final Chase position.
 5. Martin Truex Jr. 18/1       8th             5th           8th          7th
Career-best fifth-place in 2009 with 17.1 average, but might have his best PIR car ever this week.
 6. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 20/1    9th            3rd           5th           3rd 
Two-time winner, but none since 2011 repave; looked very fast in Saturday’s practices.
 7. Kyle Busch 8/1               10th           10th         13th        12th  
2005 winner with 14.3 average; can clinch Championship 4 position by finishing third or better.
 8. Joey Logano 6/1             11th           14th          9th         13th 
Career-best third in 2010; must win to advance to Championship 4 -- disappointing practices.
  9. Kasey Kahne 30/1            7th            9th          11th         10th 
2011 winner with 17.3 average; finished fourth in March race -- one of only three top-fives in 2015.
10. Erik Jones 30/1              19th            7th          16th          6th 
Driving Kenseth’s No. 20 that won last two on similar tracks; won at Phoenix twice in trucks.

Note: Phoenix’s relatively flat one-mile layout requires a similar set-up as Richmond and New Hampshire. Drivers who do well on one usually fare well on the others during a season.

Odds courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Micah Roberts is a former Las Vegas sports book director who has been setting NASCAR odds since 1994. Follow him on Twitter: MicahRoberts7

No comments: