Everything big in Texas except Kevin Harvick's odds to win

Harvick has never won at Texas, but he also hadn't won at Las Vegas.

LAS VEGAS-- Everything is big in Texas, with the exception of small odds offered on the favorite to win Saturday night’s Duck Commander 500. Even though Jimmie Johnson has won three of the past five races at Texas Motor Speedway, it’s Kevin Harvick -- a driver that has never won at Texas -- who is the 4-to-1 favorite.

That’s what happens when you dominate two races held on similar 1.5-mile tracks this season. Harvick led the most laps at both Atlanta and Las Vegas and came away with a 1.5 average finish, including his first career Cup win at Vegas. Could Texas be his next first-time conquest?

Let’s take a look at all the drivers odds offered by the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and see if there might be some 'value' on a few of the other drivers if you so dare to doubt Harvick’s chances of winning this week

KEVIN HARVICK 4/1: He is clearly head and shoulders above the rest of the field on these type of tracks and is worthy of such a low price. Knowing that he's going to be fast in practice again, he'll qualify near the front and likely lead lots of laps. This makes 4-to-1 actually appear kind of generous. In 24 starts he's accumulated a 13.1 average finish and had a career-best second-place finish last fall.

JIMMIE JOHNSON 6/1: Based on his four career wins at Texas and 9.1 average finish in 23 career starts, you definitely don't want to discount him this week. He also managed to beat Harvick at Atlanta and led 45 laps at Las Vegas before settling for a disappointing 41st-place finish. The thing that lingers with Johnson is his ordinary performance at Fontana's 2-mile layout, the last down force track run at, where he was ninth.

KURT BUSCH 6/1: He won at Texas in 2009 while driving for Penske Racing. Even though we didn't get to see him participate this season at Atlanta or his home track in Las Vegas, his dominance through the weekend at Fontana (where he sat on the pole and was fastest in all three practice sessions) gave every indication that among all drivers on the down force tracks, Busch is the closest to Harvick's plateau.

JEFF GORDON 10/1: He's the only driver to have participated in all 28 Cup starts at Texas, but he's captured only one victory (2009) along with three runner-up finishes. The last time we saw Gordon at Texas, he was charging after Brad Keselowski in a post-race melee after feeling he got wronged late while leading during a green-white-checker finish. Gordon's best finish on the down force tracks this season was 10th at Fontana. .

BRAD KESELOWSKI 10/1: His daring move late last fall was the cause of Gordon puncturing his tire and finishing 29th, but it's in those type of moves that always makes Keselowski attractive when wagering. The guy goes all out for wins, and he showed similar determination at Fontana three weeks ago when the only lap he led was the last one. He finished third last fall and his career best was second-place in the fall of 2012 which helped him win the Sprint Cup.

JOEY LOGANO 10/1: He won this race last spring and has had more success on the down force tracks this season than teammate Keselowski. He led 84 laps and finished fourth at Atlanta and led 47 laps at Las Vegas and finished 10th. He has a top-10 finish in all six races this season.

Read More Here.........Odds and outlook for every driver