Kobalt Tools 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Sunday, March 6, 2011 - 12:16 pm (PDT)
Rating Driver Odds Practice 1 Qualified Practice 2 LVMS ‘10*
1. Carl Edwards 5/1 4th 3rd 4th 12th
2008 Las Vegas winner; 12.7 average finish. Top average speeds in final practice.
2. Greg Biffle 12/1 5th 4th 5th 10th
12.9 average finish in seven starts. Second fastest average speeds in final practice.
3. Kyle Busch 6/1 17th 5th 2nd 15th
2009 winner; best 10 consecutive lap average in final practice. Using fall Charlotte chassis.
4. Matt Kenseth 15/1 1st 1st 1st 5th
Two-time winner with 11.7 average; 13th or better in nine of the 10 1.5-mile tracks in 2010.
5. Tony Stewart 12/1 7th 15th 8th 7th
One of two tracks he hasn’t won at; 14.8 average Vegas finish. Using fifth-place Indy chassis.
6. Jimmie Johnson 6/1 12th 14th 15th 1st
Four-time winner with 10.0 average in nine starts; using third-place Charlotte chassis.
7. David Reutimann 40/1 28th 25th 6th 13th
Finished fourth in 2009; his only two career wins came on 1.5-mile tracks. Great Final practice.
8. Ryan Newman 30/1 15th 8th 3rd 18th
Had an excellent final practice session using a chassis that has seen action in 12 races.
9. Jeff Gordon 15/1 19th 13th 21st 3rd
2001 winner with an average of 13.3; one of five drivers to start all 13 Vegas races.
10. Kevin Harvick 15/1 23rd 26th 27th 2nd
Using third-place Homestead chassis; consistent on all 1.5-mile tracks, 12.8 Vegas average.
* Results from the February 28, 2010 race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Odds courtesy of the Las Vegas Hilton Super Book.
Note: Matt Kenseth stood out in all practice and qualifying races this weekend at Las Vegas, but I’m not convinced his top speeds in all those sessions isn’t a matter of just being good for a few single laps. A top-five finish seems likely from him, but a few others look better based on great longer runs.
Roberts Weekly Driver Ratings
Each week I will provide an analysis of my top rated drivers on how well they will do in the race based on the following criteria:
• Practice sessions leading up to the weekend’s Sprint Cup race
• Chassis information on what was brought to each track by each team, good or bad
• Driver tendencies at certain tracks
• Recent and overall histories for each driver at each track
• Decipher poor past results with what really happened, good car -- or bad luck?
These final ratings should help assist in final betting strategies with the Las Vegas books or match-up and prop plays, as well as help in NASCAR fantasy leagues.
Micah Roberts, a former race and sports Director, has been setting NASCAR lines in Las Vegas since 1995. For more Roberts insights and post-practice analysis on the race, go to VegasInsider.com.
Final Practice Notes and Speeds