Saturday, September 25, 2010

Dover AAA 400 Driver Ratings Following All Practice & Qualifying Sessions

Micah Roberts Top 10 Driver Ratings
AAA 400
Dover International Speedway
Sunday, September 26, 2010 - 10:16 am (PDT)

Rating    Driver     Odds     Practice 1   Qualifying   Practice 2   Practice 3

 1. Kyle Busch 5/1                 7th               11th             2nd            19th    
Two time winner including this spring; two of his three 2010 wins have come on concrete.                
 2. Jimmie Johnson 9/4        19th               1st              5th               7th 
Swept 2009 season; has five Dover wins in 17 starts. Using 22nd place Indy Chassis this week.          
 3. Matt Kenseth 25/1            6th               14th            13th             4th          
2006 winner with a 12.7 average finish in 23 starts. Five straight top-four Dover finishes; third in spring.
 4. Kurt Busch 12/1               15th               8th              3rd            13th 
Not one of his better tracks; average finish of 19.7 in 20 starts. Finished fifth in both 2009 races.
 5. Martin Truex Jr 30/1        14th               3rd             15th             5th 
Site of his only career win in 2007; had the third fastest average speeds during final practice.
 6. Greg Biffle 12/1                5th                6th               6th            12th 
Two time winner with a 10.5 average finish in 16 starts; finished sixth in the spring. Using Texas chassis this week.
 7. Carl Edwards 12/1            2nd              10th             21st            16th 
2007 fall winner with track best 7.9 average finish in 12 starts; finished eighth in the spring race.
 8. Jeff Burton 30/1                24th             27th             9th              3rd 
2006 fall winner with a 15.9 average finish in 33 starts; runner-up in the spring. Using Atlanta car that finished fourth.
 9. Denny Hamlin 8/1            11th               4th             29th             8th 
Tied best career finish of fourth in the spring. Using fifth-place Pocono chassis this week.
10. Kevin Harvick 30/1          32nd             33rd            26th            15th       
Only three career top-fives in 19 starts, but had the fastest average speeds during happy hour.

Note: Though a half-mile smaller, Bristol can be used as a reference for Dover because of the similar banking and concrete surface.            

Odds courtesy of the Las Vegas Hilton Super Book.

Micah Roberts, a former Race and Sports Book Director, has been setting NASCAR lines in Las Vegas since 1995. He currently writes for multiple publications covering all sports. He can be reached at

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