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| Kyle Busch has won two of past thre3 Cup races at Phoenix. |
FanShield 500 Betting Picks
Date: Sunday, March 8, 2020
Venue: Phoenix Raceway
Television-Time: FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET
Sunday’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix Raceway’s flat 1-mile layout will be the fourth race of the season and final of a three-race west coast swing, but perhaps most importantly it’ll be the debut of the new race package that will be used in 14 races this season on smaller tracks and road courses featuring engines with 750 horsepower.
Last season, Joe Gibbs Racing won nine of the 14 races led by Martin Truex Jr. with five of the wins. They had an edge but now all will be starting from scratch even though the new package is similar to the one used in 2018. The height of the spoiler and front splitter have been dramatically reduced which takes away downforce and puts the skill of the driver more to the forefront.
What the new race package does is put oddsmakers and bettors in an area of the unknown as far as creating proper odds and finding value to wager on before dissecting both of Friday's practices.
The Westgate Las Vegas Superbook is banking on the Gibbs’ Toyotas being out in front of the curve again with this race package because they made them the top-3 favorites. The JGR engines certainly were the best and they still have those, but the set-up and balance requirements for maximum speed are still up in the air.
FanShield 500 Betting Odds
Top 10 Contenders
Kyle Busch 7/2
Martin Truex Jr. 9/2
Denny Hamlin 6/1
Kevin Harvick 6/1
Joey Logano 12/1
Brad Keselowski 12/1
Chase Elliott 12/1
Ryan Blaney 12/1
Kyle Larson 18/1
Alex Bowman 18/1
More...
What if Stewart-Haas Racing or Team Penske has things figured out the best, or maybe Hendrick Motorsports continues its upward trend. Throughout Hendrick’s history, they were always the best for the first month or two using new packages until others caught up. They appear to be very good with the 550 HP package that looked the best in both of its races at Las Vegas and Fontana. Maybe they’re dialed in here as well.
Another Phoenix attribute to consider for creating a proper driver rating is considering the repave of the track between the two 2018 races. Three races have been raced on it since and JGR has won all three, two by Kyle Busch who is the favorite this week.
But let’s not forget about the master of Phoenix who may get a boost with a Back to the Future move with the new package that resembles the old package.
READ MORE HERE......TOP-5 FINISH PREDICTION ON VEGASINSIDER.COM
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