Wednesday, March 9, 2016

2016 Good Sam 500 odds: Harvick massive favorite at Phoenix

Kevin Harvick has seven wins at Phoenix in 26 starts. 
LAS VEGAS — After a restrictor-plate race at Daytona and two races on 1.5-mile tracks, we get our first taste of 2016 racing on a smaller track Sunday at Phoenix International Raceway's flat, one-mile layout. It's the second of three races on the west coast swing, and the first of six races this season on similar flat tracks.

What you see in Sunday's Sam Good 500 will be extremely important to handicapping two later races at Richmond and New Hampshire, as well as the second Phoenix race in November during the Chase. For this weeks race, the best approach is to look at happened in those six races last season.

From a handicapping perspective, Phoenix is one of the most true to each driver's rating, which makes it one of the best tracks to bet on with driver matchups. After Friday and Saturday's practices, you should have a nice edge over the sports books in betting because there isn't much randomness factored in. In five of the past seven races, it's been one driver — Kevin Harvick — that has won, which is why he's the +225 favorite this week.

With such a big favorite, several other quality drivers have their odds raised to balance out the sports books preferred theoretic hold. The big question is just how much you can be tempted to support a driver other than Harvick to win. Let's take a look at all the Sam Good 500 odds to win posted by William Hill's 105 sports books across Nevada.

Read More Here....complete list of Phoenix odds to win

1 comment:

J S Davis said...

Harvick has won only one race (Dover) of the 35 races after his Team's tires were taken for inspection for tampering after the 2015 Phoenix race. Up to the 2015 Phoenix race Harvick was absolutely dominating in wins, but after NASCAR issued the warning about tampering with the air pressure (I think) with tires, Harvick has only one win. I think it is pretty obvious that his Team was tampering with the tires and the subsequent results, one win in thirty five races, bear that out.