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| Johnson has won 4 of the last 8 Dover races, including 2009 sweep |
No current driver has tamed the concrete monster better than Johnson, and if he wins on Sunday, we can say that no driver in NASCAR history has tamed Dover better than Johnson. His win in this race last season gave him seven for his career, tying NASCAR Hall of Famers Richard Petty and Bobby Allison.
He began his remarkable Dover run by sweeping the season as a rookie in 2002 and has been going strong ever since with an 8.6 average finish over his career at this track. Johnson has won four of the last eight races at Dover.
Based on Johnson's record at Dover and his 32-point lead atop the Sprint Cup standings, one could argue that he should be a bigger favorite than Busch, but Busch comes with a strong Dover resume as well. He's a two-time winner, his latest victory here coming in 2010.
Busch's experience and success at Bristol – where he has a dozen top-10 finishes, including five wins, since 2005 – bodes well for him at Dover. Although Bristol is a half-mile shorter than Dover, the high banking makes the set-up requirements similar. Several crew chiefs bring the chassis they used at Bristol to Dover.
Kasey Kahne won the March 17 race at Bristol, followed by Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski and Kurt Busch. The Busch brothers and Keselowski have been three of the more dominant drivers at Bristol over the last decade. Kurt Busch won at Dover in the fall of 2011 in a Penske ride, and Keselowski matched it last fall with a pivotal win in the Chase. Kahne hasn't won at Dover in 18 career starts, but did deliver his best performance ever in 2011 with fourth-place finish.
Kahne is 8-to-1 to win this week, Keselowski is 12-to-1 and Kurt Busch is 20-to-1 – his lowest odds of the season and very deserving.
Read More Here....Dover Odds from the LVH Super Book
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