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News and notes from each week of NASCAR racing using a Las Vegas oddsmaking perspective
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The 2021 NASCAR Cup season has its first event scheduled Tuesday night with the Busch Clash racing on the 14-turn, 3.61-mile road course for the first time since the non-points invitational event began on the Superspeedway in 1979.
It’s 21 of the best drivers getting a head start over the rest of the field in what is going the most road coursey NASCAR season ever with seven road races planned among the 36 points-paying races. I’m not sure how I feel about it, but a prominent Las Vegas bookmaker was excited about the change.
“It’s the best racing (road courses) in NASCAR right now,” said Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook manager Ed Salmons who made Chase Elliott the 9/4 favorite (Bet $100 to win $225) to win the Clash. “Ovals without tire dropoff is so boring.”
Last season with no practice it was the Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin show combining to win 10 of the 20 races on tracks using the race package featuring engines producing 550 horsepower. The cars used Tuesday night will be the 750 hp package.
I usually don’t get a craving for road racing until May after seeing only left turns for a couple of months.
I crave the crapshoot of Daytona in the Clash, the Duels, and the Daytona 500 after a long winter of no racing. Salmons again came with the logic that made sense.
“We already have the duels and 500, why do we need another wreck-fest,” he said.

Whatever the case may be, I think we can all agree we’re just happy to see NASCAR back after an improbable 2020 season that fought through a pandemic to be the first live sport in action on network TV after the USA shutdown.
Even better is being able to bet it with relatively no changes to the cars that raced last season. All the notes we made from last season should apply to 2021.
The key thing about road races is that it’s an elite company with road skills -- turning right and left -- that wins on them, especially lately with Chase Elliott and Martin Truex Jr. winning all five of them the last two seasons.
So let’s break down a few of the top contenders to win on Tuesday night using odds posted by the SuperBook.
The 2020 Cup Champion has started 12 races on road courses and won five of them making him the active leader in road wins. He won the inaugural NASCAR Cup race on Daytona’s road course last season leading a race-high 34 of the 65 laps. He has won the last four races on road courses, so yes, he’s the best and may still have value at +225.
He’s been seventh or better in his last five road course starts and his 2019 Sonoma win was the last driver to win one since Elliott hogged all the trophies. He was third on the Daytona road course last season. He’s been seventh or better in 10 of his last 12 road course races.
His 2016 win at Watkins Glen remains his only road course Cup win, but he seems to be racing for the win in all of them the last five years -- seven top-fives in his last 12 road course starts which includes runner up on the Daytona course last season.
In 42 Cup races on the roads he's averaged a 12th-place finish with two wins and 10 top-fives. His last win on one was 2017 at Sonoma. In his Daytona road course debut last season he was 17th.
“We ran poorly there last year, so it’s definitely been on our radar to get to the Busch Clash just because we have a number of things we want to incorporate into our car,” Harvick said. “To be able to have those reps and kind of do a quality control check on where you’re at with your race car gives you a lot going into week two of the season to make sure you’re competitive and where you need to be.”
For whatever it’s worth, Harvick’s sponsor is Busch beer, the sponsor of the Clash.
READ MORE HERE.....TOP-5 FINISH PREDICTION ON VEGASINSIDER.COM
KYLE BUSCH Checking the Final Box
HUNTERSVILLE, North Carolina (Feb. 4, 2021) – As the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series season is set to begin with on-track activities starting Tuesday, Feb. 9 at Daytona (Fla.) International Speedway, Kyle Busch has turned his attention to checking the most important remaining box on his career to-do list.
Busch, driver of the No. 18 M&M’S Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing (JGR), is hoping to check the box of Daytona 500 champion by finally securing the Harley J. Earl Trophy that goes annually to the Daytona 500 winner as he makes his 16th career start in The Great American Race slated for Sunday, Feb. 14.
Busch is still searching for his first victory in NASCAR’s season-opening event, which would be one of the most noteworthy accomplishments on his already impressive resume. The important race wins and accomplishments already checked off his list are housed in a large trophy case built at his Kyle Busch Motorsports race shop. The list starts with his two Cup Series championship trophies from 2015 and 2019, along with his wins in crown jewel races starting with the Southern 500 at Darlington (S.C.) Raceway in 2008, back-to-back Brickyard 400s at Indianapolis Motor Speedway in 2015 and 2016, his first points-paying Cup Series win at Charlotte (N.C.) Motor Speedway in the Coca-Cola 600 on Memorial Day weekend in 2018, and his first All-Star Race victory coming at Charlotte in 2017. While Busch will have his sights set on notching wins at a handful of new venues in 2021, the Daytona 500 trophy remains at the top of his list.
The Las Vegas native begins the pursuit of his first Daytona 500 win and third championship sporting the familiar yellow M&M’S scheme on his No. 18 Toyota. The M&M’S brand will be returning to Busch’s car for its 14th season in 2021, along with other Mars Wrigley products highlighted on the car throughout the year, which include a mix of new and also familiar products from the SNICKERS, SKITTLES and PEDIGREE brands. With M&M’S always bringing along the fun throughout the year in its marketing platforms, the brand also recently opened up a new M&M’S store just an hour down the road from Daytona in Orlando at Disney Springs. The 10,000-square-foot M&M’S World store features an iconic Wall of Chocolate, larger-than-life character moments, and the ability for guests to create their very own custom M&M'S candies.
The M&M’S Toyota will be on track the week leading up to the Daytona 500, starting with Tuesday night’s Busch Clash, an exhibition race Busch won in 2012. It will continue with single-lap qualifying Wednesday night, then Thursday night’s Bluegreen Vacations Duel qualifying races. Busch won his Duel qualifying race in 2009, 2013 and 2016. And the official NASCAR Cup Series season begins in earnest with the Sunday’s Daytona 500 for Busch, who in addition to his three non-points race wins at Daytona captured his first and only points-paying Cup Series win at the 2.5-mile superspeedway in July 2008.
So, as Busch and his No. 18 M&M’S Camry head back to Daytona next week, his sights will be set on winning The Great American Race and hoping to become the 40th driver to grace the Harley J. Earl Trophy as Daytona 500 champion.
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KYLE BUSCH, Driver of the No. 18 M&M'S Toyota Camry for Joe Gibbs Racing: |
You are still going after that first Daytona 500 trophy. Is this the year you are able to get to Daytona 500 victory lane?
“I don’t know if this this is the year or not, but we’ll all have to find out together. It’s been a long time, obviously. I’ve been doing it for quite a while. It’s the last trophy to check off the box. I’ve certainly been close a few times and have been way far away at other times. I feel like the superspeedway thing has not been my knack over the last few years for whatever reason. I’ve been trying to learn on it and watch film and getting better at it in those situations. We had a fast car last year and we had a fast car for all the speedway races. We were up front and leading last year’s race with 15 or so laps to go and had an engine let go. It’s a mix of a lot of luck and some skill, as well. You can be leading going down the backstretch and have someone drill you from behind and crash you, so it’s never over till it’s over and you can get to the finish line and finally put our M&M’S Camry in victory lane there. Our friends at M&M’S have also been trying for years and I’m also hope we can get it done for them as well as myself.”
What would winning the Daytona 500 mean to you?
“Winning the Daytona 500 would be huge. It’s essentially the last trophy on my checklist that I really need. I also want to win COTA, Nashville, and all the new tracks, as well, but the Daytona 500 is one that has eluded me, and many others for that matter. I would certainly like to think I could get that race checked off my list before it’s all said and done and to also be known as a Daytona 500 champion in addition to my championships and other race wins.”
You’ll have new crew chief Ben Beshore atop the pitbox this season. What are your expectations and challenges for the season ahead with a new crew chief and some new crew members?
“It definitely does present new challenges. Working with Ben is going to be cool. Ben and I worked together when he was the engineer on my car the first four years Adam (Stevens) was my Cup crew chief. We won the championship in 2015 and we were close in 2017 and we were there again with an opportunity to win it again in 2018 and it just didn’t happen. Ben went on to the Xfinity side and he and I worked together over there and won five out of seven races, blew an engine in the sixth race while leading and had a suspension failure while leading in the seventh race, so we could have gone seven for seven that year. I feel like he’s got a good knack for the car and does and good job and I’m looking forward to being able to have the opportunity to work with him again, but as a crew chief on the Cup side this time.”
How are you preparing for your Duel qualifying race?
“I think the biggest thing about that race is that you’ve got to go for points, be smart, get some points out of that race if you can. Obviously, it’s a big deal to have stage points. We kind of saw that the last couple of years with everything going on. Even if you can win the thing, obviously that would be even better to get that stage bonus point. But to have the points collection just kind of starting with that race is going to be important. So you’ve got to be cautious and mindful of what you’ve got going on, what you’re doing, because that’s the car you want to start the Daytona 500 with. It’s also the car that you’ve qualified with. You’re not allowed to touch it after qualifying. Everybody has speed dialed in. I wouldn’t say a lot of guys have a whole lot of comfort dialed into their cars. You might see some exciting moments. Hopefully, we won’t get caught up in any of that.”
Why is the Daytona 500 so difficult to win?
“Because everybody else wants to win it and it’s on all their bucket lists and, of course, it’s a race that 40 people have a chance to go out there and win. I wouldn’t say the same for a race like Vegas. You go to Vegas and obviously that’s a race where probably 10, 12 guys are going to have a chance to win but, when you show up to Daytona, all 40 people will believe they have a chance to win.”
How would you explain the feeling of starting the Daytona 500?
“It’s crazy because I might not have felt this way as a rookie or maybe my second year, but I feel it’s like another race. But, it is the first race of the year and you want to start it off well. Are you always really ready for the start of the season? Who knows? If the Daytona 500 was the fifth or sixth race of the year, would it be better for me or better for somebody else? Maybe, or maybe not. The only way I can explain it to people is, if you ever get excited or the adrenaline starts pumping and you don’t necessarily have any feelings, it’s just excitement. It could be for people experiencing the birth of a kid or something like that, or seeing their kid go through graduation or something like that. That’s sort of the feeling of getting ready to start the Daytona 500. To me, I get nervous or pumped up or excited for the start of the Super Bowl just watching it. I’m excited and I’m jacked up for it, so I can only imagine what the players feel, and that’s sort of the feeling you get.” |
Event Overview |
Tuesday, Feb. 9: Busch Clash (non-points exhibition race on 14-turn, 3.61-mile road course) ● Time/TV/Radio: 7 p.m. ET on FS1/MRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
Wednesday, Feb. 10: Daytona 500 qualifying (single-lap qualifying to determine pole for the Daytona 500) ● Time/TV/Radio: 7 p.m. ET on FS1/MRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
Thursday, Feb. 11: Duel at Daytona (twin 150-mile qualifying races that set the field for the Daytona 500) ● Time/TV/Radio: 7 p.m. ET on FS1/MRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
Sunday, Feb. 14: 63rd annual Daytona 500 (first of 36 points-paying NASCAR Cup Series races in 2021) ● Time/TV/Radio: 2:30 p.m. ET on FOX/MRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
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Notes of Interest |
● #TheCrew is more than just a hashtag. It’s a job – and a cool and refreshing one at that. Busch beer has created a once-in-a-lifetime chance for a lucky fan to join the No. 4 Busch Light team as an actual member of Kevin Harvick’s crew. The official position is the Busch Crewmaster, a full-time position within Stewart-Haas Racing (SHR) that pays $50,000 for the 2021 season where the new team member will be responsible for crucial tasks for the race team. Fans are able to apply for the position in a way that has never been done before – by tuning into the Daytona 500 on Feb. 14 for the first-ever live job interview via a NASCAR race. The questions will be asked live during the FOX broadcast and on Busch’s Twitter page. Fans will need to flex their knowledge in order to get through to the next round and possibly get hired for the position. Fans will also need to think fast during the Daytona 500 because their answers could lead them to the next round of the interview process and one step closer to the title of Busch Crewmaster. The new role is inspired by The Crew, a new Netflix show starring Kevin James as the crew chief of a fictitious NASCAR team, but Busch is giving you the chance to be a real Crewmaster with Harvick and SHR. The Crew debuts Feb. 15 on Netflix the day after the Daytona 500. Through the partnership, Busch and Netflix look to highlight the importance of the people behind the wall in driving success on the track. To learn more about the Busch Beer Crewmaster position, follow @Buschbeer #TheCrew or visit busch.com/join-the-crew to see the full Busch Crewmaster role.
● The 63rd running of the Daytona 500 Feb. 14 at Daytona (Fla.) International Speedway marks a milestone in Kevin Harvick’s career. It will be his 20th career start in The Great American Race, with his first Daytona 500 coming on Feb. 17, 2002. He started second in that race and finished 36th after getting collected in a multicar accident on lap 150.
● Five years and one day after his Daytona 500 debut, Harvick won the 2017 Daytona 500. He edged NASCAR Hall of Famer Mark Martin for the victory by .02 of a second in a frantic green-white-checkered finish. It is the second closest finish in Daytona 500 history, trailing only Denny Hamlin’s .01-of-a-second advantage over Martin Truex Jr., in 2016.
● To earn a spot in the Daytona 500, drivers must first compete in the Duel – twin 150-mile qualifying races that set the 40-car field for the Daytona 500. Harvick has won his Duel race twice (2013 and 2019). He is currently on a run of five straight top-five finishes in the Duel, and he has finished among the top-10 in 11 of his last 13 Duel races, including the past six (2015 to present).
● Before drivers compete in the Duel, they race the clock in single-lap qualifying. The two fastest cars are locked into the field while the rest of the drivers are split into the Duel. Odd-numbered drivers are in the first Duel and even-numbered drivers are in the second Duel. Harvick has never started on the pole for the Daytona 500, but he did take the outside pole once – 2002 in his first Daytona 500. Harvick lapped the 2.5-mile oval in 48.447 seconds at 185.770 mph, just .016 of a second off the pole-winning time of Jimmie Johnson.
● For a select group of drivers – 24 to be exact – a non-points exhibition race around the Daytona road course kicks off their week at Daytona. The Busch Clash is comprised of Busch Pole winners from last season, past Busch Clash winners who competed full-time in 2020, Daytona 500 winners who competed fulltime in 2020, former Daytona 500 Busch Pole winners who competed full-time in 2020, as well as any NASCAR Cup Series drivers who made the playoffs in 2020, won a race in 2020 or won a stage in 2020. Harvick checks all of these boxes. In fact, he is a three-time winner of the Busch Clash (2009, 2010 and 2013). However, all of those wins came on Daytona’s 2.5-mile oval. This is the first Busch Clash on the 14-turn, 3.61-mile road course.
● The Busch Clash will mark Harvick’s second NASCAR Cup Series race on the Daytona road course, but his third overall. The Cup Series raced on the Daytona road course for the first time last August. Harvick started from the pole and ran among the top-10 until two separate spins in the final stage relegated him to a 17th-place finish. Prior to that race, Harvick’s lone appearance on the Daytona road course came in 2002 during the Rolex 24 at Daytona sports-car race. Harvick co-drove the No. 90 Flis Motorsports entry in the American Grand Touring (AGT) class alongside Davy Lee Liniger, Rick Carelli and John Metcalf. Harvick qualified the car and drove early in the race, but the engine expired after just 123 of the race’s 716 laps. The team finished eighth in class and 69th overall.
● The 2021 season marks Harvick’s 21st year in the NASCAR Cup Series. He has 718 career, point-paying starts, with 39 of them coming on Daytona’s 2.5-mile oval. In addition to his 2017 Daytona 500 victory, Harvick won the 2010 Coke Zero 400. He has 10 top-fives and 15 top-10s on the Daytona oval. The 63rd Daytona 500 will be his 40th point-paying start on the Daytona oval.
● Outside of the NASCAR Cup Series, Harvick has made 19 career NASCAR Xfinity Series starts at Daytona and three IROC starts. Of Harvick’s 47 Xfinity Series wins, only one is at Daytona – the 2007 season opener. And Harvick’s best IROC finish at Daytona is seventh, earned twice (2003 and 2004). Harvick is a two-time Xfinity Series champion (2001 and 2006) and the 2002 IROC champion.
● Not long after the 2020 season ended, Harvick was back at Daytona, but not as a driver. Instead, Harvick was there Dec. 27-30 in the role of car owner for his eight-year-old son Keelan, who competed on the nine-turn, .7-mile layout in the infield of Daytona’s oval during Daytona Kart Week. Keelan won his first race last July at GoPro Motorplex in Mooresville, North Carolina, and is now a karting regular competing in three different divisions – Micro ROK, Micro Swift and Briggs Cadet.
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Kevin Harvick, Driver of the No. 4 Busch Light #TheCrew Ford Mustang for Stewart-Haas Racing |
Busch Beer is going to pay for one lucky fan to be a member of your team. When you were starting out in racing, what were some of your first jobs on a race team? “When I went to work for Wayne and Connie Spears on their Truck Series team, I went there just as a mechanic. I was just a very general mechanic that would basically pull things together and take engines in and out. And then when I drove for Wayne and Connie, I had the luxury of working in the engine shop, where I spent most of my time underneath the bench sleeping during the day, and I had a great colleague, Bill, who allowed me to sleep. So I don’t know if I was very much help in the engine shop, but I was very much a general mechanic who swept the floor.”
You start the season on a road course via the Busch Clash. Considering that there are now seven road courses on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule, with the first point-paying one coming on the Daytona road course a week after the 500, how helpful is to have that knowledge and experience from the Busch Clash so early in the season? “We ran poorly there last year, so it’s definitely been on our radar to get to the Busch Clash just because we have a number of things we want to incorporate into our car. To be able to have those reps and kind of do a quality control check on where you’re at with your racecar gives you a lot going into week two of the season to make sure you’re competitive and where you need to be.”
You’re coming off a career-best nine win season in 2020. With a year like that, how much are you able to carry over into this season? Or do you come into this year with a clean slate, not only because everyone starts with the same amount of points, but also because of how quickly technology advances? “You’ve got to start over just because of the fact you just never know how things are going to shake out, how your cars are going to run, and the decisions you’re going to make. You just have to start over and forget everything that you’ve done, and I think that’s one thing we do really well as a team. Whether it’s a really good week or a really bad week, or a good season or a bad season, we’re really good at just forgetting about whatever it is that happened and making sure that we’re focused on the things we need to be focused on for that particular week.”
Even without a championship, was last year’s nine-win season comparable to your five-win championship season in 2014? “As a group, we want to win. I would rather win races than win a championship at this point. In order to keep the attitude and enthusiasm where it needs to be, we need to be competitive week in and week out. If it works out in a championship at the end of the year, ultimately that’s the goal, but the immediate goal when you start the season is how competitive are we from week one to week 36, and how do we put ourselves in a position to win as many races as possible. If you do that, you’re going to have a chance to win races, and not only win, you’re going to have a chance to make the playoffs, progress through the playoffs, and win the championship. With the playoff format, it really just is what it is. You go, you race, and you see where it falls. For us as a team, it’s more important for us to be competitive week in and week out. Win as many races as we can and see where that takes us in the end.”
You’re often asked about your strategy in a superspeedway race. But what strategy is there for the entire week of Daytona, where you want to show speed, but also keep a clean car through practice, qualifying, the Duel and then, finally, the Daytona 500? “I think as you go through the week, it’s that evolution of the enthusiasm ramping up as you get closer to the Daytona 500. You have to maintain a pretty even-keeled approach to things just because of the fact that you don’t want to be so jacked up and make a stupid move and tear up your car before you even get to the Daytona 500. But you also want to get everything that you can because you want to get the best starting position you can and the best pit selection that you can for the 500. It’s a different mentality than any other week because you race and practice and race and practice and race again. But it’s not just a race. It’s the Daytona 500. So, it’s a different type of enthusiasm headed for the green flag for the 500.”
You won nine races as a 44-year-old. Now you’re ready for another season at age 45. When everyone seems to be talking about who’s next, you’re constantly reminding people that, “Hey, I’m still here,” by knocking down wins. What do you credit it to? Certainly there’s innate ability, but how have you been able to sustain it at such a high level for so long? “I think a lot of that is evolving with the times, having an open mind to be able to change. The biggest piece of the equation is having fast racecars and keeping those guys motivated to work on every last detail on that racecar – that matters as much as anything that you do. I think the evolution of the driver and keeping yourself fit and keeping that circle of life balance in order to be able to keep everything good at home, do the things you have to do outside the racecar, do the things you need to do inside the racecar, and also evolve with the times and put your butt in the simulator and get something out of it. Do the things it takes to evolve with all those progressions of technology and racecars and all the things that come with that. You have to be open-minded, and I think that’s something we do well in making sure we’re not stuck in our ways and getting left behind.”
Your eight-year-old son, Keelan, is just starting his racing career. With almost four decades of racing under your belt, what kind of guidance do you give him, both in terms of racing and preparing to race? “My expectations of him are exactly the same expectations I have of myself leading up to a race. But while you’re there on a race weekend, some people think that’s a little bit overboard, including Mom, but for me that’s just the way you’re going to have to be. And I always ask him, ‘Do you want to be good, or do you want to be great? We can teach you how to be either. One’s considerably easier than the other, but not nearly as rewarding.’ So he has learned that what you put in is rewarded by what you get out of it in the results. The faster you can put that effort in and understand that everything matters in the preparation and the things you do leading up to that will ultimately give you better results.” |
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| Austin Dillon won at Texas in July. |
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| Chase Elliott won at Daytona road course last season. |