Friday, July 10, 2015

Final 2015 Kentucky Quaker State 400 Driver Ratings

Micah Roberts’ Top-10 Driver Ratings
Quaker State 400 400 
Kentucky Speedway
Saturday, July 10, 2015 -  4:46 pm (PT)

RATING    DRIVER   ODDS           PRAC 1      PRAC 2       LAS VEGAS*     KANSAS*    KENTUCKY ‘14* 
 1. Brad Keselowski 10/1     2nd           2nd             7th               7th            1st 
Two-time winner, including 2014, and also two Xfinity wins; new aero package benefits him.
 2. Joey Logano 17/2           4th            3rd            10th               5th            9th 
Career-best fourth in 2013; 3 top-fives on 1.5-mile tracks in 2015. Penske Racing looks good.
 3. Kevin Harvick 5/1          15th           15th            1st               2nd            7th 
Led 433 laps on five 1.5-mile tracks in 2015; using runner-up chassis from Fontana and All-Star race.
 4. Jimmie Johnson 11/2     6th             9th             41st              1st            10th 
Career best third in 2011; one of four tracks he has yet to win at. Three wins on 1.5s in 2015.
 5. Kyle Busch 10/1             9th              7th             DNP           DNP           2nd 
Won inaugural race in 2011 is only driver to have 3 top-five finishes over the four events.
 6. Martin Truex Jr. 12/1      5th           17th            2nd                9th           19th 
Career-best seventh-place in 2013, likes the bumpy layout; ninth or better on all five 1.5s in 2015.
 7. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 8/1   10th            8th            4th                3rd             5th 
Career-best fourth; fourth or better on all five 1.5s in 2015. Loose car around turns to his liking.
 8. Denny Hamlin 12/1         8th             4th            5th               41st           42nd 
Career-best third in 2012. Not his best track, but the aero package changes should help him.
 9. Matt Kenseth 10/1         17th           10th           9th                6th             4th 
2013 winner, fourth in 2014, and tied with Busch for track-best 4.5 average finish over four starts
10. Kyle Larson 22/1            1st             1st            8th               15th           40th 
With all the aero-changes and uncertainties, this could be a great spot for him to get first Cup win.

Note: Starting lineup will be set by order of finish from first practice session.

* Results from 2015 races at Las Vegas (Mar. 8) and Kansas (May 9), as well as last seasons race at Kentucky. Kansas probably runs the most similar to Kentucky among 1.5-mile tracks, but the past two Kentucky winners also won at Las Vegas in same season.

Odds courtesy of William Hill sports books

Micah Roberts is a former Las Vegas sports book director who has been setting NASCAR odds since 1994. Follow @MicahRoberts7 on Twitter.

Kentucky Practice Notes

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