Showing posts with label oral-b usa 500. Show all posts
Showing posts with label oral-b usa 500. Show all posts

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Final Atlanta Practice Notes: Gordon driver to beat, Gibbs cars have speed

Junior and Gordon both figure to be very good Sunday at Atlanta
Jeff Gordon wasn't fastest in any of the three Atlanta practice sessions run between Friday and Saturday, and he only qualified ninth, but the five-time Atlanta winner comes into Sunday night’s Oral-B USA 500 as the driver to beat.

So while Joey Logano was fastest in Saturday’s early practice session and Matt Kenseth was tops during happy hour, neither of those drivers compare to the show Gordon put on in both of those sessions. Let’s just say that Gordon’s car takes a few laps to get going, and while other fast cars on single laps get slower after putting a few laps on their tires, Gordon’s car doesn’t show the same type of drop-off.

Gordon had the best 10-consecutive lap average in both of Saturday’s sessions and during happy hour he was fastest among all those that ran five, 10 and 15-consecutive laps. The Atlanta fuel window will have considerably more laps than what Gordon showed in such a small sample size, but it’s as good as we’ve got to try and determine who will be strongest near the end of those runs. It's one of the more impressive showings of any driver during practices on the 1.5s.

So far this season on the 1.5-mile tracks, looking at the 10-consecutive lap average has been the best piece of data to review in determining who were the best candidates to win after practices. Last year was the same story with Joe Gibbs Racing winning seven of the 11 1.5-mile races. This season, it’s been all Penske Racing and Hendrick Motorsports combining to win all five of the 1.5s so far.

While Brad Keselowski has two of those 1.5 wins this season (Las Vegas, Kentucky), Gordon has been the most consistent as the only driver to finish ninth or better in all five of them, including a Kansas win.

So we’ve established -- or at least made the case -- that Gordon has the car to beat. He’s been the best on these type of tracks and he has more Atlanta wins than any other active driver in the series. How about we also mention a little Atlanta nostalgia such as winning his first career NASCAR race with a Busch series win in 1992 and then later that year he would make his Cup debut at Atlanta, the same race that Richard Petty started his final race. In 40 Cup starts at Atlanta, Gordon has led 1,297 laps.

Gordon will be using a chassis that has raced four times this season with finishes of 13th at Fontana, sixth at Michigan and seventh each at Charlotte and Darlington.

When I first looked at everything for this race, I looked no where else than the Penske and Hendrick cars with a close eye on the Stewart-Haas cars of Kevin Harvick and Kurt Busch. I think Tony Stewart can be added to the list as well, but my biggest surprise came on Saturday from what I saw out of Joe Gibbs Racing.

For being so good last season, it’s like they had to sell their 1.5-mile soul for the following year. The JGR cars won seven times on these track last season and don’t have any this year. A JGR driver has won at Atlanta the past two seasons. Matt Kenseth won seven times himself last year and doesn’t have any in 2014. Denny Hamlin’s only win of the season came at Talladega where almost anyone can win.

But on Saturday, they got my attention and now have to be considered legitimate candidates to win up there with the likes of Penske, Hendrick and SHR. Kenseth had the fastest lap in happy hour, but Hamlin’s performance was the most eye opening as he had speed on both short and long runs.

Hamlin, winner of the 2012 Atlanta race, had the fourth-fastest speed in the early session and was third fastest in happy hour. The only driver that had a better 10-consecutive lap average during happy hour was Gordon, which is some very good company.

If the Gibbs cars are on the mend on these tracks, this new Chase format that starts in two weeks becomes even more interesting and will make it harder than ever to pick the eventual winner.

Read More Here........Final Driver Ratings


Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Harvick, Gordon, Johnson & Keselowski all co-favorites to win at Atlanta

Is Penske the team to beat as we get back on 1.5-mile tracks?
LAS VEGAS - Four drivers have been listed as the 6-to-1 co-favorites by the LVH SuperBook to win Saturday’s Oral-B USA 500 at the Atlanta Motor Speedway, and for good reason. Atlanta will be the sixth 1.5-mile track raced on this season, and the previous five may give us a good idea about who'll win in Sunday.

The Penske duo of Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano have combined to win three of the 1.5-mile track races. Keselowski, who had a career-best Atlanta finish of third-place during his 2012 Championship season, is one of the 6-to-1 favorites. He was able to reel in wins at Speedway Motorsports Inc. sister tracks at Las Vegas and Kentucky.

Logano, listed at 8-to-1 odds, won this season at the track that is most similar to Atlanta, Texas Motor Speedway, in April. His best finish at Atlanta was runner-up last season behind Kyle Busch, who took his second checkered flag at the high-banked track.

Busch comes in at 10-to-1 odds, which sounds attractive, but his Joe Gibbs Racing team is nothing like it was last season. In 2013, the JGR cars were the cream of the crop of these cookie-cutter tracks. They had won four of the first five 1.5-mile races and followed it up with an Atlanta win. But they have yet to win on any of these tracks this season. Busch can still be considered a conteneder since he won at the 2-mile layout at Fontana, a horsepower track, but it remains his only victory of the season, and the balance required for the steeper banking might not be there for him, or any other JGR car.

One of the three drivers who are favored with Keselowski to win Sunday night is five-time Atlanta winner Jeff Gordon. He gets high marks this week on the basis of his Kansas win in May, but what makes him superbad (that’s a good term) in this race is that he’s finished ninth or better at all five 1.5-mile track races this season. He was runner-up at Texas, a great sign that he’ll be among the top-five finishers. In addition to his five wins on the track, he also has five second-place finishes, including in 2001 when Kevin Harvick beat him by a track record margin of victory of only six-thousandths of a second (0.006).

Harvick also comes in at 6-to-1, and his last Atlanta win came in that 2001 race, which was just his third race in the Cup series after taking over for the late Dale Earnhardt. Harvick hasn’t won on a 1.5-mile track this season, but his Hendrick Chevy engine has powered him to two runner-up finishes at Kansas and Charlotte. While he had some sketchy performances with breakdowns in the first half of the season, he comes in on a streak of having finished 11th or better in his last five starts. The Stewart-Haas Racing team has put everything together at the right time, as there are only two races remaining before the Sprint Cup Chase starts.

Three-time Atlanta winner Jimmie Johnson also comes as one of the 6-to-1 favorites, partly on the basis of his win at sister-track Charlotte in late May. His fourth-place finish last week at Bristol was his first top-five since winning at Michigan in June. That win was during a stretch where he won all three of his races this season within four outings. We haven’t seen a 1.5-mile track since Kentucky, where he finished 10th, but the No. 48 team figures to come up big again. This race is huge for them, and everyone else, as five of the Chase races will be on 1.5-mile tracks.

The driver with the best chance of surprising everyone is Kasey Kahne at 15-to-1. He’s a two-time winner at Atlanta and he’ll be running the same equipment as Gordon and Johnson. Kahne is one of those drivers in pickle as far as the Chase is concerned because he’s 33 points out of the 16th and final slot, currently sitting in 18th place on the season standings.

With such a huge deficit for Kahne, he might be in a position to try to win at all costs. He’s fighting for his season, and he needs a lot of help for the Chase to become a reality.

Another driver with great success at Atlanta is three-time winner Carl Edwards at 30-to-1 odds. The Roush-Fenway Racing engines have been getting better lately. His best finish of late at Atlanta was in 2010, when he was second in the second of Atlanta's then-two race dates.

Read More Here.....LVH odds to win

Monday, August 25, 2014

2014 NASCAR Chase Grid Heading into Atlanta

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. (August 26, 2014) – With the regular season coming to an end, winless drivers are feeling a strong sense of urgency for a victory – and the spot in the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup that goes with it. Below are the statistics of a number of those drivers at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia going into the Oral-B USA 500 on August 31 (7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, PRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
2014 Chase Grid Outlook
 
Pos.
Drivers
Wins
Points
Chase Bonus Pts
1
 Jeff Gordon
3
845
9
2
 Dale Earnhardt Jr.
3
818
9
3
 Brad Keselowski
3
776
9
4
 Joey Logano
3
761
9
5
 Jimmie Johnson
3
726
9
6
 Kevin Harvick
2
721
6
7
 Carl Edwards
2
716
6
8
 Kyle Busch
1
629
3
9
 Denny Hamlin
1
594
3
10
 AJ Allmendinger
1
586
3
11
 Kurt Busch
1
582
3
12
 Aric Almirola
1
559
3
13
 Matt Kenseth
0
751
0
14
 Ryan Newman
0
710
0
15
 Clint Bowyer
0
699
0
16
 Greg Biffle
0
694
0
Outside Looking In
17
 Kyle Larson
0
668
0
18
 Kasey Kahne
0
661
0
19
 Austin Dillon
0
654
0
20
 Paul Menard
0
649
0
21
 Jamie McMurray
0
634
0
22
 Marcos Ambrose
0
626
0
23
 Brian Vickers
0
621
0
24
 Casey Mears
0
561
0
25
 Martin Truex Jr.
0
540
0
26
 Tony Stewart
0
537
0
27
 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
0
514
0
28
 Danica Patrick
0
462
0
29
 Justin Allgaier
0
425
0
30
 David Gilliland
0
376
0
 
Green = Locked into the Chase, provided they attempt to qualify for the remaining four races
 
Orange = No wins, Inside the current Chase Grid's top 16 - Currently in the Chase, not locked in
 
Red = Inside the current top 30 in points, outside of the Chase cutoff