|Kyle Busch won the spring Texas race.|
Johnson became the first driver to punch his ticket in the Championship Round with a win at Martinsville on Sunday, the ninth of his career there, and only three spots remain with two races to go in the Round of 8 until the season finale at Homestead-Miami Speedway on Nov. 20 where the 2016 Sprint Cup champion will be crowned.
This week the series travels to Texas Motor Speedway for the second time this season for Sunday's AAA Texas 500. It will be the 10th of 11 races on 1.5-mile tracks this season and the first nine should lend plenty of data to find who is most likely to win this week.
Kyle Busch won the April 9 race at Texas for his second career win on the high-banked track. However it was sixth-place finisher Martin Truex Jr. who led the most laps (141). Seventh-place Carl Edwards would lead the second-most (124).
Truex was eliminated from the Chase two weeks ago after Talladega, but has led the most laps (1,743) on all tracks this season, including the group of 10 races on 1.5-mile tracks. He should be considered at least the co-favorite to win this week despite never winning at Texas in 22 career starts. He has wins on 1.5s at Charlotte and Chicago already this season and with a championship not in his future anymore, his main goal is to lead the season in wins. He's currently tied with Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski, Johnson and Busch with four wins each.
Edwards put himself in a rough spot by finishing 36th at Martinsville last week because now he has to win one of the next two races to advance. He's a three-time winner at Texas, but doesn't have any of his two wins this season on a 1.5. However, he was runner-up at Kansas three weeks at ago, a 1.5-mile track, but much flatter than Texas. He's finished 10th or better in his last four Texas starts and his last win there was with Roush Fenway Racing in 2008 when he swept the season.
Read More Here....Top-5 Finish Prediction on VegasInsider.com